Bears vs. Seahawks prediction favors Seattle to win MNF Week 8 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 61.3% win probability for the Seahawks at Lumen Field.

The Seattle Seahawks will square off with the Chicago Bears in NFL Week 8 action at Lumen Field on Monday, starting at 8:15 PM ET.
Dimers' proven NFL model projects the Seahawks as the most likely winner in this Bears vs. Seahawks prediction.
This article offers a closer look at this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Bears vs. Seahawks prediction and odds
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Seahawks a 61.3% chance of defeating the Bears in Week 8 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Seahawks winning 24-21.
Key factors favoring the Seahawks:
- Seahawks team rating
- Seahawks defense
- Seahawks offense
According to our model, the Bears (+3.5) have a 54.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 46.5-point over/under has a 51.3% chance of staying under.
The key factors that make the under more likely are:
- Seahawks pace
- QB ratings
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 8 straight up picks.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Bears +3.5 (-113) / Seahawks -3.5 (+111)
- Moneyline: Bears +160, Seahawks -163
- Total: Over/Under 46.5 (+102/-104)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Bears +3.5 @ 53¢ via Polymarket
- Moneyline: Bears @ 38¢ via Novig
- Total: Under 46.5 @ 51¢ via Novig
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Bears +3.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Bears vs. Seahawks TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Bears vs. Seahawks?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for MNF, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Bears vs. Seahawks.
Our projections give Smith-Njigba a 52.3% chance of getting in for six at Lumen Field, while the wide receiver is a 12.8% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Chicago Bears
- D'Andre Swift (RB): 49.2% probability
- Luther Burden (WR): 25.5%
- Colston Loveland (TE): 25.4%
- Rome Odunze (WR): 21.8%
- Roschon Johnson (RB): 21.4%
Seattle Seahawks
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR): 52.3% prob.
- Zach Charbonnet (RB): 38.3%
- AJ Barner (TE): 23.5%
- Emanuel Wilson (RB): 22.4%
- Cooper Kupp (WR): 20.8%
First touchdown scorer predictions
Chicago Bears
- D'Andre Swift (RB): 12.7% prob.
- Luther Burden (WR): 5.5%
- Colston Loveland (TE): 5.5%
- Rome Odunze (WR): 4.6%
- Roschon Johnson (RB): 4.5%
Seattle Seahawks
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR): 12.8% prob.
- Zach Charbonnet (RB): 8.4%
- AJ Barner (TE): 4.6%
- Emanuel Wilson (RB): 4.4%
- Cooper Kupp (WR): 4.0%
Top player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Bears and Seahawks. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 8 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bears' Caleb Williams is projected for 227 passing yards. The Seahawks' Sam Darnold is expected to throw for 235 yards.
Bears rushing
- D'Andre Swift: 65 yds
- Caleb Williams: 26 yds
- Roschon Johnson: 19 yds
Seahawks rushing
- Jadarian Price: 30 yds
- Zach Charbonnet: 30 yds
- Emanuel Wilson: 27 yds
Bears receiving
- Luther Burden: 57 yds
- Colston Loveland: 45 yds
- Rome Odunze: 44 yds
- Kalif Raymond: 24 yds
- D'Andre Swift: 22 yds
Seahawks receiving
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 102 yds
- Cooper Kupp: 35 yds
- AJ Barner: 33 yds
- Tory Horton: 29 yds
- Jadarian Price: 13 yds
Game info & kickoff details
The NFL Week 8 action between the Seahawks and Bears at Lumen Field is scheduled to start at 8:15 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Bears vs. Seattle Seahawks
- Date: Monday, November 2, 2026
- Time: 8:15 PM ET/5:15 PM PT
- Venue: Lumen Field
NFL Week 8 promo
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Conclusion
We predict the Seahawks, with a 61.3% win probability, will likely beat the Bears in Week 8 of the NFL season.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



