Jets vs. Lions prediction favors Detroit to win in NFL Week 3 [2026]

Since our Jets-Lions predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Jets and Lions, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Lions a 72.0% chance of beating the Jets in Week 3 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Lions winning 27-21.

Key factors favoring the Lions:

• Detroit Lions Power Rankings
• New York Jets Offensive Efficiency
• Detroit Lions Offensive Efficiency

According to our model, the oddsmakers have got it right, and the Jets and Lions each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 48.5 points also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 3 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Jets +6.5 (+102) / Lions -6.5 (-104)
• Moneyline: Jets +264, Lions -270
• Total: Over/Under 48.5 (-103/+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Jets +6.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Jets @ 27¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 48.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Jets to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Jets vs. Lions TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Jets vs. Lions?

According to our model, Jahmyr Gibbs is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Jets vs. Lions.

Our projections give Gibbs a 67.0% chance of getting in for six at Ford Field, while the running back is an 18.9% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

New York Jets

• Breece Hall (RB): 44.4% probability
• Garrett Wilson (WR): 35.4%
• Braelon Allen (RB): 25.7%
• Adonai Mitchell (WR): 21.2%
• Kenyon Sadiq (TE): 18.6%

Detroit Lions

• Jahmyr Gibbs (RB): 67.0% prob.
• Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR): 49.7%
• Jameson Williams (WR): 32.7%
• Sam LaPorta (TE): 31.3%
• Isaac TeSlaa (WR): 15.8%

First touchdown scorer predictions

New York Jets

• Breece Hall (RB): 11.0% prob.
• Garrett Wilson (WR): 8.2%
• Braelon Allen (RB): 5.6%
• Adonai Mitchell (WR): 4.5%
• Kenyon Sadiq (TE): 3.9%

Detroit Lions

• Jahmyr Gibbs (RB): 18.9% prob.
• Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR): 11.7%
• Jameson Williams (WR): 6.7%
• Sam LaPorta (TE): 6.4%
• Isaac TeSlaa (WR): 2.9%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Jets and Lions. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 3 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jets' Geno Smith is projected for 226 passing yards, while the Lions' Jared Goff is expected to throw for 258 yards.

Jets rushing

• Breece Hall: 62 yds
• Braelon Allen: 23 yds
• Geno Smith: 14 yds

Lions rushing

• Jahmyr Gibbs: 93 yds
• Sione Vaki: 14 yds
• Jacob Saylors: 5 yds

Jets receiving

• Garrett Wilson: 79 yds
• Adonai Mitchell: 50 yds
• Isaiah Williams: 31 yds
• Kenyon Sadiq: 31 yds
• Breece Hall: 25 yds

Lions receiving

• Amon-Ra St. Brown: 82 yds
• Jameson Williams: 58 yds
• Sam LaPorta: 48 yds
• Jahmyr Gibbs: 37 yds
• Isaac TeSlaa: 22 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 3 action between the Lions and Jets at Ford Field is scheduled to commence at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: New York Jets vs. Detroit Lions
• Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Ford Field

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Conclusion

We predict the Lions, with a 72.0% win probability, will likely beat the Jets in Week 3 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.