Flames vs. Avalanche prediction, odds, pick for Oct. 31, 2026

The Colorado Avalanche are favored to beat the Calgary Flames at Ball Arena on Saturday (10:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NHL model.

Our Flames vs. Avalanche prediction gives Colorado a 73.5% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Flames to cover at +1.5.

Flames vs. Avalanche key predictions

• Avalanche win probability: 73.5%
• Flames win probability: 26.5%
• Avalanche -1.5 puck line: 52.8% cover probability
• Under 6.5 goals: 53.7% probability

Our NHL predictions estimate how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent performance, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

We then calculate the probability of each team winning and covering the puck line, plus the chance the game goes over or under the total, and compare those probabilities with the latest odds to find betting value.

Flames vs. Avalanche odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets we track.

• Flames moneyline: 21¢ (Novig)
• Avalanche moneyline: -380 (DraftKings)
• Flames +1.5: 39¢ (Novig)
• Avalanche -1.5: 62¢ (Novig)
• Over 6.5 goals: 50¢ (Novig)
• Under 6.5 goals: 50¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Flames vs. Avalanche pick: Flames +1.5 (39¢)

Our model makes the Avalanche the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Flames to cover the +1.5 puck line at 39¢ on Novig.

Those odds give the Flames an implied cover probability of 39.5%, while our model puts it at 47.2%.

That's a 7.7% edge, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets for this game.

Flames vs. Avalanche goal-scorer predictions

Our NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, opponent strength, and projected team goals.

Nathan MacKinnon of the Avalanche leads the anytime goal-scorer projections for Saturday's game at 43.6%, ahead of teammate Artturi Lehkonen (33.9%). Calgary's most likely goal-scorer, Aydar Suniev, is further back at 23.1%. MacKinnon also leads the first goal-scorer projections at 9.5%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

1. Nathan MacKinnon (Avalanche): 43.6%
2. Artturi Lehkonen (Avalanche): 33.9%
3. Martin Necas (Avalanche): 32.8%
4. Brock Nelson (Avalanche): 29.5%
5. Cale Makar (Avalanche): 23.7%

First goal-scorer predictions

1. Nathan MacKinnon (Avalanche): 9.5%
2. Artturi Lehkonen (Avalanche): 6.2%
3. Martin Necas (Avalanche): 6.2%
4. Brock Nelson (Avalanche): 5.8%
5. Joel Farabee (Flames): 4.6%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to assess potential value.

Get every Flames vs. Avalanche prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Flames vs. Avalanche predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets

Flames vs. Avalanche game details

• Matchup: Calgary Flames vs. Colorado Avalanche
• Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026
• Puck drop: 10:00 PM ET
• Venue: Ball Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NHL models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or starting goaltender confirmations. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.