Flames vs. Kraken prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 4, 2026

The Seattle Kraken are favored to beat the Calgary Flames at Climate Pledge Arena on Wednesday (10:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NHL model.

Our Flames vs. Kraken prediction gives Seattle a 54.9% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest the best betting value is on the under 6.5 goals.

Flames vs. Kraken key predictions

• Kraken win probability: 54.9%
• Flames win probability: 45.1%
• Flames +1.5 puck line: 67.0% cover probability
• Under 6.5 goals: 57.0% probability

Our NHL predictions estimate how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent performance, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

We then calculate the probability of each team winning and covering the puck line, plus the chance the game goes over or under the total, and compare those probabilities with the latest odds to find betting value.

Flames vs. Kraken odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets we track. Novig has the best price in every market for this game.

• Flames moneyline: 46¢ (Novig)
• Kraken moneyline: 55¢ (Novig)
• Flames +1.5: 66¢ (Novig)
• Kraken -1.5: 34¢ (Novig)
• Over 6.5 goals: 46¢ (Novig)
• Under 6.5 goals: 55¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Flames vs. Kraken pick: Under 6.5 (55¢)

Our model makes the Kraken the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 6.5 total goals at 55¢ on Novig.

Those odds give the under an implied probability of 55.0%, while our model puts it at 57.0%.

That's a 2.0% edge, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets for this game.

Flames vs. Kraken goal-scorer predictions

Our NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, opponent strength, and projected team goals.

William Stromgren of the Flames leads the anytime goal-scorer projections for Wednesday's game at 35.7%, followed by Seattle's Bobby McMann (32.9%). Stromgren also leads the first goal-scorer projections at 7.8%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

1. William Stromgren (Flames): 35.7%
2. Bobby McMann (Kraken): 32.9%
3. Jordan Eberle (Kraken): 27.3%
4. Joel Farabee (Flames): 24.6%
5. Morgan Frost (Flames): 21.4%

First goal-scorer predictions

1. William Stromgren (Flames): 7.8%
2. Bobby McMann (Kraken): 6.0%
3. Jordan Eberle (Kraken): 5.1%
4. Joel Farabee (Flames): 4.4%
5. Aydar Suniev (Flames): 4.4%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to assess potential value.

Get every Flames vs. Kraken prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Flames vs. Kraken predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets

Flames vs. Kraken game details

• Matchup: Calgary Flames vs. Seattle Kraken
• Date: Wednesday, November 4, 2026
• Puck drop: 10:00 PM ET
• Venue: Climate Pledge Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NHL models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or starting goaltender confirmations. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.