Hurricanes vs. Islanders prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 5, 2026

The Carolina Hurricanes are favored to beat the New York Islanders at UBS Arena on Thursday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NHL model.

Our Hurricanes vs. Islanders prediction gives Carolina a 60.9% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Islanders to cover at +1.5.

Hurricanes vs. Islanders key predictions

• Hurricanes win probability: 60.9%
• Islanders win probability: 39.1%
• Islanders +1.5 puck line: 62.4% cover probability
• Over 5.5 goals: 53.4% probability

Our NHL predictions estimate how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent performance, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

We then calculate the probability of each team winning and covering the puck line, plus the chance the game goes over or under the total, and compare those probabilities with the latest odds to find betting value.

Hurricanes vs. Islanders odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets we track.

• Hurricanes moneyline: 62¢ (Novig)
• Islanders moneyline: 38¢ (Novig)
• Hurricanes -1.5: +154 (DraftKings)
• Islanders +1.5: 61¢ (Novig)
• Over 5.5 goals: -122 (DraftKings)
• Under 5.5 goals: 46¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Hurricanes vs. Islanders pick: Islanders +1.5 (61¢)

Our model makes the Hurricanes the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Islanders to cover the +1.5 puck line at 61¢ on Novig.

Those odds give the Islanders an implied cover probability of 61.0%, while our model puts it at 62.4%.

That's a 1.4% edge, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets for this game.

Hurricanes vs. Islanders goal-scorer predictions

Our NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, opponent strength, and projected team goals.

Bo Horvat of the Islanders leads the anytime goal-scorer projections for Thursday's game at 33.3%, followed by Carolina's Sebastian Aho (30.9%). Horvat also leads the first goal-scorer projections at 6.6%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

1. Bo Horvat (Islanders): 33.3%
2. Sebastian Aho (Hurricanes): 30.9%
3. Mark Jankowski (Hurricanes): 28.8%
4. Andrei Svechnikov (Hurricanes): 28.5%
5. Seth Jarvis (Hurricanes): 27.4%

First goal-scorer predictions

1. Bo Horvat (Islanders): 6.6%
2. Mark Jankowski (Hurricanes): 5.8%
3. Andrei Svechnikov (Hurricanes): 5.7%
4. Seth Jarvis (Hurricanes): 5.7%
5. Sebastian Aho (Hurricanes): 5.4%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to assess potential value.

Get every Hurricanes vs. Islanders prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Hurricanes vs. Islanders predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets

Hurricanes vs. Islanders game details

• Matchup: Carolina Hurricanes vs. NY Islanders
• Date: Thursday, November 5, 2026
• Puck drop: 7:00 PM ET
• Venue: UBS Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NHL models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or starting goaltender confirmations. Learn how our predictions work.

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