Red Wings vs. Oilers prediction, odds and best bet for Oct. 26, 2026

The Edmonton Oilers are favored to beat the Detroit Red Wings on Monday, according to Dimers' NHL pregame model.

Our Red Wings vs. Oilers prediction gives Edmonton a 59.9% chance of winning at Rogers Place, while the latest odds suggest the best betting value lies in under 6.5 goals.

Red Wings vs. Oilers: Key predictions

• Oilers win probability: 59.9%
• Red Wings win probability: 40.1%
• Red Wings +1.5 puck line: 61.6% cover probability
• Over 6.5 goals: 50.2% probability

Dimers' NHL pregame model estimates how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent form, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

These projections power our NHL predictions, which show the probability of each team winning, covering the puck line, and the total goals going over or under the betting line.

Red Wings vs. Oilers odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets monitored by Dimers.

• Red Wings moneyline: 39¢ (Novig)
• Oilers moneyline: 61¢ (Novig)
• Red Wings +1.5: 60¢ (Novig)
• Oilers -1.5: 41¢ (Novig)
• Over 6.5 goals: 55¢ (Novig)
• Under 6.5 goals: 46¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Best value bet: Under 6.5 (46¢)

The Oilers may be more likely to win, but Dimers' top value bet is under 6.5 total goals at 46¢, available at Novig.

Those odds imply a 46.0% chance of the game finishing under 6.5 goals, while our model puts that probability at 49.8%.

That's a 3.8% edge on the under, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets based on Dimers' probabilities and the best available odds.

Red Wings vs. Oilers goal-scorer predictions

Unlike our NHL pregame model, Dimers' NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, the opposing team, and projected team goals.

Leon Draisaitl of the Oilers leads Monday's anytime goal-scorer projections at 45.5%, ahead of teammate Connor McDavid (40.9%). Detroit's most likely goal-scorer, Alex DeBrincat, is further back at 38.1%. Draisaitl also leads the first goal-scorer projections at 9.4%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

• Leon Draisaitl (Oilers): 45.5%
• Connor McDavid (Oilers): 40.9%
• Alex DeBrincat (Red Wings): 38.1%
• Zach Hyman (Oilers): 36.7%
• Viktor Arvidsson (Red Wings): 34.6%

First goal-scorer predictions

• Leon Draisaitl (Oilers): 9.4%
• Connor McDavid (Oilers): 7.6%
• Alex DeBrincat (Red Wings): 7.4%
• Zach Hyman (Oilers): 7.4%
• Viktor Arvidsson (Red Wings): 6.6%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to assess potential value.

Unlock all Red Wings vs. Oilers predictions with Dimers Pro

Get the complete picture for Monday's matchup with Dimers Pro, including:

• Best bets for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets.
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams.
• High-value player props across anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets.

See our full range of Red Wings vs. Oilers predictions.

Red Wings vs. Oilers game details

• Matchup: Detroit Red Wings vs. Edmonton Oilers
• Date: Monday, October 26, 2026
• Puck drop: 9:30 PM ET/6:30 PM PT
• Venue: Rogers Place

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from Dimers' proprietary NHL models, presented through a human-written template. Matchup-specific information is populated automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and may change as new information becomes available. Learn more about how Dimers predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.