Blues vs. Avalanche prediction: Why Colorado is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [10/3/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's NHL game between the Blues and Avalanche, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Avalanche a 66.8% chance of defeating the Blues. According to our model, the Blues (+1.5) have a 55.5% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 56.0% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Puck Line: Blues +1.5 (+100) / Avalanche -1.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Blues +255, Avalanche -278
• Total: Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-118)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Puck line: Blues +1.5 @ +100 via BetMGM
• Moneyline: Blues @ +255 via BetRivers
• Total: Under 6.5 @ -118 via DraftKings

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Blues +1.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Blues vs. Avalanche player props

Who will score a goal in Blues vs. Avalanche?

According to our model, Nathan MacKinnon is most likely to score an anytime goal in Blues vs. Avalanche.

Our projections give MacKinnon a 43.9% chance of scoring a goal at Ball Arena, while the star is a 9.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

St. Louis Blues

• Dylan Holloway: 27.0% probability
• Robert Thomas: 26.5% probability
• Jimmy Snuggerud: 23.6% probability
• Pavel Buchnevich: 19.4% probability
• Mason McTavish: 19.1% probability

Colorado Avalanche

• Nathan MacKinnon: 43.9% probability
• Martin Necas: 34.9% probability
• Brock Nelson: 29.3% probability
• Artturi Lehkonen: 29.1% probability
• Cale Makar: 23.7% probability

First goal scorer predictions

St. Louis Blues

• Robert Thomas: 5.4% probability
• Dylan Holloway: 4.9% probability
• Jimmy Snuggerud: 4.8% probability
• Pius Suter: 3.6% probability
• Connor McMichael: 3.4% probability

Colorado Avalanche

• Nathan MacKinnon: 9.8% probability
• Martin Necas: 6.5% probability
• Brock Nelson: 5.3% probability
• Artturi Lehkonen: 5.1% probability
• Cale Makar: 4.3% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Saturday's action between the Avalanche and Blues at Ball Arena is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: St. Louis Blues vs. Colorado Avalanche
• Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Ball Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Avalanche, with a 66.8% win probability, will likely beat the Blues in Saturday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.