Kings vs. Sharks prediction favors Los Angeles to win Saturday's NHL matchup [10/3/2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 50.7% win probability for the Kings at SAP Center at San Jose.

The San Jose Sharks will take on the Los Angeles Kings, in what is expected to be a close NHL game, at SAP Center at San Jose on Saturday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Kings a slight edge with a 50.7% win probability over the Sharks.
This article offers a complete Kings vs. Sharks prediction, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Kings vs. Sharks prediction and odds
Our famous predictive model gives the Kings a 50.7% chance of beating the Sharks. According to our model, the Kings (+1.5) have a 72.1% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 56.9% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Puck Line: Kings +1.5 (-250) / Sharks -1.5 (+220)
- Moneyline: Kings -103, Sharks -114
- Total: Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-122)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Puck line: Kings +1.5 @ -250 via BetMGM
- Moneyline: Kings @ -103 via BetRivers
- Total: Under 6.5 @ -122 via FanDuel
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Kings vs. Sharks player props
Who will score a goal in Kings vs. Sharks?
According to our model, Macklin Celebrini is most likely to score an anytime goal in Kings vs. Sharks.
Our projections give Celebrini a 36.5% chance of scoring a goal at SAP Center at San Jose, while the star is an 8.0% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Los Angeles Kings
- Adrian Kempe: 36.1% probability
- Artemi Panarin: 34.9% probability
- Quinton Byfield: 26.3% probability
- Corey Perry: 20.9% probability
- Mats Zuccarello: 20.6% probability
San Jose Sharks
- Macklin Celebrini: 36.5% probability
- Will Smith: 27.4% probability
- Igor Chernyshov: 25.4% probability
- Mason Marchment: 21.8% probability
- Kiefer Sherwood: 21.2% probability
First goal scorer predictions
Los Angeles Kings
- Artemi Panarin: 7.1% probability
- Adrian Kempe: 7.0% probability
- Quinton Byfield: 4.6% probability
- Corey Perry: 4.1% probability
- Joel Armia: 3.8% probability
San Jose Sharks
- Macklin Celebrini: 8.0% probability
- Will Smith: 5.3% probability
- Igor Chernyshov: 4.9% probability
- Mason Marchment: 4.0% probability
- Tyler Toffoli: 3.7% probability
Game info & puck drop details
Saturday's action between the Sharks and Kings at SAP Center at San Jose is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Kings vs. San Jose Sharks
- Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: SAP Center at San Jose
Conclusion
We predict the Kings, with a 50.7% win probability, will likely beat the Sharks in Saturday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



