Avalanche vs. Flames Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Avalanche vs. Flames in the NHL on Thursday, October 8, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
Hoops season sale: $30 off Dimers Pro passes. Limited time only.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Avalanche
7
3
Scotiabank Saddledome
Flames
Scotiabank Saddledome
TEAM123T
Avalanche
1 3 3 7
Flames
1 0 2 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Avalanche
    100%
  • Flames
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Avalanche
1 3 3 7
Flames
1 0 2 3
P3 19:13 Shot missed by Adam Klapka
P3 19:11 Simon Nemec shot blocked by Josh Manson
P3 18:23 Shot on goal by Zachary L'Heureux saved by Devin Cooley
P3 15:56 Martin Pospisil shot blocked by Fedor Svechkov
P3 14:25 Shot on goal by Yan Kuznetsov saved by Scott Wedgewood
P3 13:53 Joel Farabee shot blocked by Brock Nelson
P3 13:31 Yegor Sharangovich shot blocked by Brock Nelson
P3 12:07 Shot on goal by Zachary L'Heureux saved by Devin Cooley
P3 10:19 Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
P3 09:39 Jaden Schwartz shot blocked by Jake Middleton
P3 08:28 Shot on goal by Kevin Bahl saved by Scott Wedgewood
P3 08:09 Shot missed by Yegor Sharangovich
P3 07:17 Goal scored by Mikael Backlund assisted by Ryan Strome
P3 06:34 Goal scored by Jaden Schwartz assisted by T.J. Hughes and Brett Kulak
P3 06:21 Shot on goal by T.J. Hughes saved by Devin Cooley
P3 06:07 Shot on goal by Parker Kelly saved by Devin Cooley
P3 05:35 Goal scored by Cale Makar assisted by Nathan MacKinnon and Nazem Kadri
P3 04:56 Shot missed by Matvei Gridin
P3 04:13 Shot missed by Brett Kulak
P3 03:33 Shot missed by Jaden Schwartz
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Klapka
  3. P3 19:11
    SHOT
    Simon Nemec shot blocked by Josh Manson
  4. P3 18:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zachary L'Heureux saved by Devin Cooley
  5. P3 17:29
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
  6. P3 17:29
    Stoppage - Offside
  7. P3 16:39
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
  8. P3 16:39
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  9. P3 16:29
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  10. P3 16:29
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  11. P3 15:58
    Martin Pospisil won faceoff against T.J. Hughes in offensive zone
  12. P3 15:56
    SHOT
    Martin Pospisil shot blocked by Fedor Svechkov
  13. P3 14:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yan Kuznetsov saved by Scott Wedgewood
  14. P3 14:23
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
  15. P3 13:53
    SHOT
    Joel Farabee shot blocked by Brock Nelson
  16. P3 13:31
    SHOT
    Yegor Sharangovich shot blocked by Brock Nelson
  17. P3 13:29
    Stoppage - Icing
  18. P3 13:06
    Stoppage - Offside
  19. P3 12:42
    Fedor Svechkov won faceoff against Martin Pospisil in defensive zone
  20. P3 12:22
    Martin Pospisil won faceoff against Fedor Svechkov in neutral zone
  21. P3 12:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zachary L'Heureux saved by Devin Cooley
  22. P3 11:43
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
  23. P3 11:43
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  24. P3 11:17
    Matt Coronato won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
  25. P3 10:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
  26. P3 09:41
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
  27. P3 09:39
    SHOT
    Jaden Schwartz shot blocked by Jake Middleton
  28. P3 08:34
    Stoppage - Offside
  29. P3 08:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kevin Bahl saved by Scott Wedgewood
  30. P3 08:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yegor Sharangovich
  31. P3 07:17
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Mikael Backlund assisted by Ryan Strome
    6-2
  32. P3 06:34
    Martin Pospisil won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
  33. P3 06:34
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jaden Schwartz assisted by T.J. Hughes and Brett Kulak
    6-1
  34. P3 06:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by T.J. Hughes saved by Devin Cooley
  35. P3 06:09
    T.J. Hughes won faceoff against Jonathan Castagna in offensive zone
  36. P3 06:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Parker Kelly saved by Devin Cooley
  37. P3 05:35
    Martin Pospisil won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  38. P3 05:35
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Cale Makar assisted by Nathan MacKinnon and Nazem Kadri
    5-1
  39. P3 04:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matvei Gridin
  40. P3 04:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brett Kulak
  41. P3 03:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jaden Schwartz
  42. P3 03:20
    Fedor Svechkov won faceoff against Adam Klapka in defensive zone
  43. P3 03:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Pospisil saved by Scott Wedgewood
  44. P3 02:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Devin Cooley
  45. P3 02:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Martin Necas
  46. P3 02:03
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Scott Wedgewood
  47. P3 00:52
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Morgan Frost in offensive zone
  48. P3 00:52
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  49. P3 00:17
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
  50. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  51. P2 19:38
    Shorthanded - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
  52. P2 19:38
    Penalty to Parker Kelly 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Matvei Gridin)
  53. P2 19:21
    Stoppage - Icing
  54. P2 18:20
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Joel Farabee in defensive zone
  55. P2 17:47
    Giveaway by Jonathan Castagna in neutral zone
  56. P2 17:25
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Jonathan Castagna in offensive zone
  57. P2 17:25
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  58. P2 17:09
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  59. P2 16:55
    SHOT
    Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Simon Nemec
  60. P2 16:42
    SHOT
    Brent Burns shot blocked by teammate
  61. P2 15:52
    Takeaway by Simon Nemec in defensive zone
  62. P2 15:44
    T.J. Hughes won faceoff against Matvei Gridin in defensive zone
  63. P2 15:41
    SHOT
    Yan Kuznetsov shot blocked by Brett Kulak
  64. P2 15:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yan Kuznetsov
  65. P2 15:25
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  66. P2 14:41
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
  67. P2 14:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Scott Wedgewood
  68. P2 14:29
    Stoppage - Icing
  69. P2 14:22
    Avalanche won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
  70. P2 14:15
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
  71. P2 14:15
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
  72. P2 13:46
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Martin Pospisil in offensive zone
  73. P2 13:22
    Avalanche won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
  74. P2 13:10
    SHOT
    T.J. Hughes shot blocked by Simon Nemec
  75. P2 12:35
    SHOT
    T.J. Hughes shot blocked by Aydar Suniev
  76. P2 12:28
    Jonathan Castagna won faceoff against Fedor Svechkov in defensive zone
  77. P2 12:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by T.J. Hughes saved by Devin Cooley
  78. P2 12:25
    Avalanche won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
  79. P2 12:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Devin Cooley
  80. P2 11:39
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
  81. P2 11:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
  82. P2 11:29
    SHOT
    Brent Burns shot blocked by Jake Middleton
  83. P2 11:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Manson
  84. P2 10:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brent Burns
  85. P2 10:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Devin Cooley
  86. P2 10:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Devin Cooley
  87. P2 09:48
    Martin Pospisil won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  88. P2 09:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Whitecloud saved by Scott Wedgewood
  89. P2 09:31
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Ryan Strome in neutral zone
  90. P2 09:31
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  91. P2 09:16
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Cale Makar
    3-1
  92. P2 08:40
    SHOT
    Simon Nemec shot blocked by Brett Kulak
  93. P2 06:45
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Martin Pospisil in neutral zone
  94. P2 06:45
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Devon Toews assisted by Noah Juulsen and Parker Kelly
    2-1
  95. P2 06:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Devin Cooley
  96. P2 05:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Nemec saved by Scott Wedgewood
  97. P2 05:30
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Joel Farabee in defensive zone
  98. P2 05:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Sharangovich saved by Scott Wedgewood
  99. P2 04:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Pospisil saved by Scott Wedgewood
  100. P2 04:19
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  101. P2 03:26
    SHOT
    Brett Kulak shot blocked by Matvei Gridin
  102. P2 03:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Devin Cooley
  103. P2 03:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Frost saved by Scott Wedgewood
  104. P2 02:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Coronato
  105. P2 02:47
    Avalanche won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
  106. P2 02:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Middleton saved by Scott Wedgewood
  107. P2 01:44
    Power play - Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
  108. P2 00:44
    Ryan Strome won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  109. P2 00:44
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  110. P2 00:23
    Jaden Schwartz won faceoff against Ryan Strome in offensive zone
  111. P2 00:00
    Shorthanded - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
  112. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  113. P1 19:22
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Devin Cooley
  114. P1 19:13
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
  115. P1 19:11
    Delayed penalty (against the Avalanche)
  116. P1 19:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zach Whitecloud
  117. P1 18:56
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
  118. P1 18:56
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  119. P1 17:37
    Jake Middleton credited with hit on Fedor Svechkov in neutral zone
  120. P1 17:35
    Samuel Honzek credited with hit on T.J. Hughes in offensive zone
  121. P1 16:38
    Zach Whitecloud credited with hit on Artturi Lehkonen in defensive zone
  122. P1 16:18
    Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
  123. P1 16:10
    Stoppage - High Stick
  124. P1 16:07
    SHOT
    Yegor Sharangovich shot blocked by Brent Burns
  125. P1 15:32
    SHOT
    Devon Toews shot blocked by Morgan Frost
  126. P1 15:22
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
  127. P1 14:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
  128. P1 14:41
    Noah Juulsen credited with hit on Samuel Honzek in defensive zone
  129. P1 12:36
    Giveaway by Nazem Kadri in offensive zone
  130. P1 12:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Devin Cooley
  131. P1 12:21
    Stoppage - Offside
  132. P1 12:21
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  133. P1 11:36
    SHOT
    Adam Klapka shot blocked by Josh Manson
  134. P1 10:59
    Jonathan Castagna credited with hit on Brent Burns in offensive zone
  135. P1 10:53
    Giveaway by Zayne Parekh in neutral zone
  136. P1 10:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Devin Cooley
  137. P1 10:29
    Giveaway by Zayne Parekh in defensive zone
  138. P1 10:01
    Jake Middleton credited with hit on Jaden Schwartz in defensive zone
  139. P1 09:40
    Fedor Svechkov won faceoff against Ryan Strome in defensive zone
  140. P1 09:40
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  141. P1 09:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joel Farabee saved by Scott Wedgewood
  142. P1 09:07
    Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
  143. P1 08:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Manson
  144. P1 08:03
    Power play - Giveaway by Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  145. P1 07:31
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
  146. P1 07:31
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  147. P1 06:30
    SHOT
    Power play - T.J. Hughes shot blocked by Samuel Honzek
  148. P1 06:23
    Penalty to Flames 2 minutes for Too Many Men on the Ice (Served by Aydar Suniev)
  149. P1 06:12
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  150. P1 06:12
    Stoppage - Icing
  151. P1 05:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kevin Bahl
  152. P1 05:09
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Fedor Svechkov in offensive zone
  153. P1 04:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
  154. P1 03:48
    SHOT
    Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud
  155. P1 02:24
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Jonathan Castagna in defensive zone
  156. P1 02:24
    Stoppage - High Stick
  157. P1 01:46
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against T.J. Hughes in defensive zone
  158. P1 01:44
    SHOT
    Martin Necas shot blocked by Jake Middleton
  159. P1 01:14
    Martin Pospisil won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  160. P1 01:03
    Martin Pospisil credited with hit on Martin Necas in neutral zone
  161. P1 00:50
    Giveaway by Simon Nemec in defensive zone
Stats
Avalanche
STATS
Flames
30Shots on Goal29
59% Faceoff Win % 41%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
9Penalty Infraction Mins11
18Hits23
14 Shots Blocked 15
23Giveaways18
AvalancheCOL
FlamesCGY
30Shots on Goal29
59% Faceoff Win % 41%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
9Penalty Infraction Mins11
18Hits23
14 Shots Blocked 15
23Giveaways18

Avalanche vs. Flames prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Thursday

  • Teams: Colorado Avalanche vs. Calgary Flames
  • Date: Thursday, October 8, 2026
  • Puck drop: 9:00PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Avalanche (-1.5, +106), Flames (+1.5, -118)
  • Moneyline: Avalanche -233, Flames +215
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (+110/-125)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Avalanche: 65.9%
  • Flames: 34.0%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Avalanche vs. Flames player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Nathan MacKinnon, Avalanche: 39.1%
  • Martin Necas, Avalanche: 34.2%
  • Matthew Coronato, Flames: 26.1%
  • Morgan Frost, Flames: 26.0%

Want the best picks for this game?

The most likely result is not always the bet worth making.

Join Dimers Pro for the full betting analysis on Avalanche vs. Flames, including:

  • Every game and player prop bet our model rates for this matchup.
  • Best Bets across tonight's full NHL slate.
  • Automatic line shopping across major sportsbooks and prediction markets.
  • All player prop probabilities for every NHL game.

Unlock every pick for Avalanche vs. Flames with Dimers Pro.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Avalanche a win probability of 65.9%, while the Flames have a win probability of 34.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at Scotiabank Saddledome on Thursday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

Dimers’ predictions and betting insights are here to inform your decisions, not to make them for you. If you are betting on Avalanche vs. Flames, set your limits in advance and stay within them. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.

When you click or tap a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website we have a commercial relationship with, such as a sportsbook, we may receive a referral fee.