Flyers vs. Senators Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Flyers vs. Senators in the NHL on Thursday, October 8, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Flyers
1
2
Canadian Tire Centre
Senators
Canadian Tire Centre
TEAM123T
Flyers
0 1 0 1
Senators
1 0 1 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Flyers
    0%
  • Senators
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Flyers
0 1 0 1
Senators
1 0 1 2
P3 19:54 Shot on goal by Sean Couturier saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 19:10 Matvei Michkov shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
P3 18:00 Shot on goal by Travis Konecny saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 17:58 Travis Sanheim shot blocked by teammate
P3 14:36 Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Joseph Woll
P3 14:06 Shot on goal by Nikolas Matinpalo saved by Joseph Woll
P3 12:44 Power play - Shot missed by Ridly Greig
P3 10:08 Shot missed by Travis Sanheim
P3 08:50 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Joseph Woll
P3 08:15 Power play - Matvei Michkov shot blocked by teammate
P3 07:12 Power play - Shot on goal by Tyson Foerster saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 05:03 Shot missed by Warren Foegele
P3 04:45 Thomas Chabot shot blocked by teammate
P3 03:22 Shot missed by Carter Yakemchuk
P3 00:41 Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Joseph Woll
P2 19:50 Shot missed by Shane Pinto
P2 19:16 Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
P2 19:08 Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Joseph Woll
P2 19:06 Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Joseph Woll
P2 18:53 Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Joseph Woll
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sean Couturier saved by Linus Ullmark
  3. P3 19:34
    Giveaway by Nikolas Matinpalo in defensive zone
  4. P3 19:29
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  5. P3 19:10
    SHOT
    Matvei Michkov shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
  6. P3 19:09
    Takeaway by Matvei Michkov in offensive zone
  7. P3 18:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Travis Konecny saved by Linus Ullmark
  8. P3 17:58
    SHOT
    Travis Sanheim shot blocked by teammate
  9. P3 16:41
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
  10. P3 16:41
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  11. P3 16:11
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  12. P3 16:11
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  13. P3 14:39
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  14. P3 14:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Joseph Woll
  15. P3 14:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikolas Matinpalo saved by Joseph Woll
  16. P3 13:01
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
  17. P3 12:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ridly Greig
  18. P3 12:21
    Shorthanded - Simon Benoit credited with hit on Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  19. P3 11:09
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  20. P3 10:59
    Flyers won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  21. P3 10:59
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  22. P3 10:44
    Giveaway by Porter Martone in defensive zone
  23. P3 10:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Travis Sanheim
  24. P3 09:41
    Flyers won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  25. P3 09:40
    Power play - Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  26. P3 09:40
    Flyers won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  27. P3 09:40
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  28. P3 08:50
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Joseph Woll
  29. P3 08:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Matvei Michkov shot blocked by teammate
  30. P3 07:50
    Penalty to Jordan Spence 2 minutes for Misconduct
  31. P3 07:50
    Flyers won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  32. P3 07:50
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  33. P3 07:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  34. P3 07:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tyson Foerster saved by Linus Ullmark
  35. P3 06:47
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Michael Amadio in defensive zone
  36. P3 06:38
    Shorthanded - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Matvei Michkov in defensive zone
  37. P3 06:38
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  38. P3 06:17
    Flyers won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  39. P3 06:17
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  40. P3 05:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Warren Foegele
  41. P3 04:45
    SHOT
    Thomas Chabot shot blocked by teammate
  42. P3 03:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Carter Yakemchuk
  43. P3 03:20
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in offensive zone
  44. P3 03:20
    Stoppage - Icing
  45. P3 03:13
    Giveaway by Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  46. P3 02:13
    Matvei Michkov won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in offensive zone
  47. P3 01:41
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in defensive zone
  48. P3 01:41
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  49. P3 01:06
    David Jiricek credited with hit on Nick Cousins in neutral zone
  50. P3 01:00
    Giveaway by Travis Konecny in offensive zone
  51. P3 00:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Joseph Woll
  52. P3 00:00
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
  53. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  54. P2 19:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shane Pinto
  55. P2 19:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
  56. P2 19:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Joseph Woll
  57. P2 19:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Joseph Woll
  58. P2 18:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Joseph Woll
  59. P2 18:41
    Giveaway by Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  60. P2 18:13
    SHOT
    Warren Foegele shot blocked by Travis Konecny
  61. P2 17:58
    SHOT
    Dylan Cozens shot blocked by teammate
  62. P2 17:27
    SHOT
    Shane Pinto shot blocked by Jamie Drysdale
  63. P2 17:04
    SHOT
    Travis Konecny shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
  64. P2 16:49
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  65. P2 16:47
    SHOT
    Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Trevor Zegras
  66. P2 16:15
    Giveaway by Trevor Zegras in defensive zone
  67. P2 16:08
    David Jiricek credited with hit on Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
  68. P2 15:06
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
  69. P2 15:06
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  70. P2 15:06
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  71. P2 14:48
    Giveaway by Carter Yakemchuk in neutral zone
  72. P2 14:38
    Takeaway by Denver Barkey in defensive zone
  73. P2 13:50
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Shane Pinto in defensive zone
  74. P2 13:50
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  75. P2 13:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Joseph Woll
  76. P2 13:35
    SHOT
    Christian Dvorak shot blocked by Jordan Spence
  77. P2 13:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Owen Tippett
  78. P2 12:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Christian Dvorak
  79. P2 12:12
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in neutral zone
  80. P2 12:12
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  81. P2 12:12
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  82. P2 10:39
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Matvei Michkov in defensive zone
  83. P2 10:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Porter Martone saved by Linus Ullmark
  84. P2 09:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sean Couturier saved by Linus Ullmark
  85. P2 09:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Linus Ullmark
  86. P2 09:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Linus Ullmark
  87. P2 07:46
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in neutral zone
  88. P2 07:04
    Power play - Matvei Michkov won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
  89. P2 07:04
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  90. P2 07:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyson Foerster saved by Linus Ullmark
  91. P2 06:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tyler Kleven
  92. P2 06:31
    Giveaway by Nick Seeler in defensive zone
  93. P2 05:36
    SHOT
    Nick Seeler shot blocked by Nick Cousins
  94. P2 05:12
    Stoppage - Icing
  95. P2 03:49
    Claude Giroux credited with hit on Jamie Drysdale in offensive zone
  96. P2 03:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Joseph Woll
  97. P2 02:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Amadio
  98. P2 02:15
    Warren Foegele credited with hit on Simon Benoit in offensive zone
  99. P2 01:46
    Denver Barkey won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
  100. P2 01:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  101. P2 01:18
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
  102. P2 01:18
    Stoppage
  103. P2 00:39
    SHOT
    Claude Giroux shot blocked by Travis Sanheim
  104. P2 00:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Claude Giroux
  105. P2 00:00
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
  106. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  107. P1 19:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by David Jiricek saved by Linus Ullmark
  108. P1 19:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cam York
  109. P1 19:45
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Senators in offensive zone
  110. P1 19:45
    Stoppage - Icing
  111. P1 19:00
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in defensive zone
  112. P1 19:00
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  113. P1 18:21
    SHOT
    Michael Amadio shot blocked by Denver Barkey
  114. P1 17:17
    Tim Stutzle credited with hit on Jamie Drysdale in offensive zone
  115. P1 17:06
    SHOT
    Travis Konecny shot blocked by Jordan Spence
  116. P1 16:08
    Power play - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Sean Couturier in neutral zone
  117. P1 16:08
    Stoppage - Offside
  118. P1 15:43
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  119. P1 15:40
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Nick Seeler
  120. P1 15:19
    Power play - Takeaway by Drake Batherson in defensive zone
  121. P1 15:12
    Power play - Giveaway by Stephen Halliday in offensive zone
  122. P1 14:40
    Power play - Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  123. P1 14:40
    Penalty to Simon Benoit 2 minutes for Boarding (Drawn by Ridly Greig)
  124. P1 14:34
    SHOT
    Shane Pinto shot blocked by Jamie Drysdale
  125. P1 14:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Joseph Woll
  126. P1 14:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Carter Yakemchuk saved by Joseph Woll
  127. P1 14:06
    Power play - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
  128. P1 13:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Senators shot blocked by teammate
  129. P1 13:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Cam York
  130. P1 12:31
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in defensive zone
  131. P1 12:29
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in defensive zone
  132. P1 11:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Shane Pinto
  133. P1 10:19
    Power play - Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  134. P1 10:19
    Penalty to Matvei Michkov 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Nick Cousins)
  135. P1 10:19
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  136. P1 10:14
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Denver Barkey in neutral zone
  137. P1 10:11
    SHOT
    Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Noel Acciari
  138. P1 10:06
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in defensive zone
  139. P1 10:06
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  140. P1 08:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Stephen Halliday shot blocked by Noah Cates
  141. P1 08:22
    SHOT
    Power play - Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Cam York
  142. P1 07:57
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  143. P1 07:57
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  144. P1 05:56
    SHOT
    Power play - David Jiricek shot blocked by Ridly Greig
  145. P1 04:45
    Noel Acciari credited with hit on Ridly Greig in neutral zone
  146. P1 04:36
    Dylan Cozens credited with hit on Noel Acciari in defensive zone
  147. P1 04:22
    Michael Bunting credited with hit on Ridly Greig in offensive zone
  148. P1 04:20
    Noel Acciari credited with hit on Nikolas Matinpalo in offensive zone
  149. P1 03:48
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Denver Barkey in defensive zone
  150. P1 03:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  151. P1 03:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  152. P1 03:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Trevor Zegras saved by Linus Ullmark
  153. P1 03:00
    Stoppage - Icing
  154. P1 02:56
    Claude Giroux credited with hit on Cam York in offensive zone
  155. P1 01:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Linus Ullmark
  156. P1 01:29
    Jamie Drysdale credited with hit on Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  157. P1 01:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Joseph Woll
  158. P1 01:03
    Sean Couturier credited with hit on Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
  159. P1 00:04
    Travis Sanheim credited with hit on Jordan Spence in neutral zone
  160. P1 00:00
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
  161. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Flyers
STATS
Senators
29Shots on Goal26
47% Faceoff Win % 53%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/1
10Penalty Infraction Mins8
22Hits23
11 Shots Blocked 20
9Giveaways15
FlyersPHI
SenatorsOTT
29Shots on Goal26
47% Faceoff Win % 53%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/1
10Penalty Infraction Mins8
22Hits23
11 Shots Blocked 20
9Giveaways15

Flyers vs. Senators prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Thursday

  • Teams: Philadelphia Flyers vs. Ottawa Senators
  • Date: Thursday, October 8, 2026
  • Puck drop: 7:00PM ET
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Flyers (+1.5, -162), Senators (-1.5, +154)
  • Moneyline: Flyers +170, Senators -175
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5 goals (-112/-104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Flyers: 39.1%
  • Senators: 60.9%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Flyers vs. Senators player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Tyson Foerster, Flyers: 26.5%
  • Owen Tippett, Flyers: 24.5%
  • Tim Stutzle, Senators: 36.3%
  • Drake Batherson, Senators: 34.1%

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Flyers a win probability of 39.1%, while the Senators have a win probability of 60.9%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Flyers in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

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