Maple Leafs vs. Oilers Prediction, Picks & Odds
Moneyline
- Maple Leafs
- Oilers
- Auston Matthews38.4%
- William Nylander38.0%
- Kirill Marchenko29.3%
- Jack Roslovic
- Gavin McKenna
- Leon Draisaitl45.1%
- Connor McDavid42.3%
- Zach Hyman39.6%
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Maple Leafs vs. Oilers prediction & analysis
Game overview: NHL Saturday
- Teams: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Edmonton Oilers
- Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
- Puck drop: 7:00PM ET
- Venue: Rogers Place
Current betting odds
- Puck line: Maple Leafs (+1.5, -150), Oilers (-1.5, +144)
- Moneyline: Maple Leafs +156, Oilers -160
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (-148/+147)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 39.5%
- Oilers: 60.4%
Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.
It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.
Maple Leafs vs. Oilers player props & projections
Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:
- William Nylander, Maple Leafs: 38.0%
- Auston Matthews, Maple Leafs: 37.2%
- Leon Draisaitl, Oilers: 43.7%
- Connor McDavid, Oilers: 42.1%
Want the best picks for this game?
The most likely result is not always the bet worth making.
Join Dimers Pro for the full betting analysis on Maple Leafs vs. Oilers, including:
- Every game and player prop bet our model rates for this matchup.
- Best Bets across tonight's full NHL slate.
- Automatic line shopping across major sportsbooks and prediction markets.
- All player prop probabilities for every NHL game.
Unlock every pick for Maple Leafs vs. Oilers with Dimers Pro.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 39.5%, while the Oilers have a win probability of 60.4%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Oilers are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Rogers Place on Saturday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
Dimers’ predictions and betting insights are here to inform your decisions, not to make them for you. If you are betting on Maple Leafs vs. Oilers, set your limits in advance and stay within them. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.
When you click or tap a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website we have a commercial relationship with, such as a sportsbook, we may receive a referral fee.