Oilers vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Oilers vs. Islanders in the NHL on Saturday, October 31, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
NHL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Oilers
vs.
UBS Arena
Islanders
UBS Arena
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Oilers
    54.3%
    NovigNovig
  • Islanders
    45.7%
    NovigNovig
Player Props
Oilers
Probability
  • Leon Draisaitl
    45.0%
  • Connor McDavid
    42.6%
  • Evan Bouchard
    25.9%
  • Vasily Podkolzin
  • Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Islanders
Probability
  • Bo Horvat
    38.8%
  • Simon Holmstrom
    26.8%
  • Matthew Schaefer
    26.7%
  • Kyle Palmieri
  • Brayden Schenn

Oilers vs. Islanders prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Saturday

  • Teams: Edmonton Oilers vs. NY Islanders Islanders
  • Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026
  • Puck drop: 2:00PM ET
  • Venue: UBS Arena

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Oilers (-1.5, +199), Islanders (+1.5, -210)
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (+113/-115)
  • Moneyline: Oilers -125, Islanders +122

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Oilers: 54.4%
  • Islanders: 45.6%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Oilers vs. Islanders player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Leon Draisaitl, Oilers: 45.6%
  • Connor McDavid, Oilers: 43.1%
  • Bo Horvat, Islanders: 37.6%
  • Matthew Schaefer, Islanders: 28.1%

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Oilers a win probability of 54.4%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 45.6%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Oilers are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Saturday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

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