Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Odds
Moneyline
- Canadiens
- Maple Leafs
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs prediction & analysis
Game overview: NHL Saturday
- Teams: Montreal Canadiens vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
- Puck drop: 7:00PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Current betting odds
- Puck line: Canadiens (-1.5, +217), Maple Leafs (+1.5, -233)
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (-111/+102)
- Moneyline: Canadiens -112, Maple Leafs +106
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Canadiens: 51.6%
- Maple Leafs: 48.3%
Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.
It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 51.6%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 48.3%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Canadiens are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
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