Capitals vs. Senators Prediction, Picks & Odds
Moneyline
- Capitals
- Senators
- Alex Tuch30.9%
- Tom Wilson25.4%
- Jordan Kyrou22.1%
- Jakob Chychrun
- Alex Ovechkin
- Tim Stutzle36.7%
- Drake Batherson35.6%
- Shane Pinto28.7%
- Dylan Cozens
- Michael Amadio
Capitals vs. Senators prediction & analysis
Game overview: NHL Tuesday
- Teams: Washington Capitals vs. Ottawa Senators
- Date: Tuesday, November 10, 2026
- Puck drop: 7:00PM ET
- Venue: Canadian Tire Centre
Current betting odds
- Puck line: Capitals (+1.5, -217), Senators (-1.5, +205)
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (+126/-122)
- Moneyline: Capitals +117, Senators -122
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Capitals: 46.2%
- Senators: 53.8%
Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.
It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.
Capitals vs. Senators player props & projections
Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:
- Alex Tuch, Capitals: 30.9%
- Tom Wilson, Capitals: 25.4%
- Tim Stutzle, Senators: 36.7%
- Drake Batherson, Senators: 35.6%
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 46.2%, while the Senators have a win probability of 53.8%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Capitals in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Tuesday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
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