Penguins vs. Ducks prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 8, 2026

The Anaheim Ducks are favored to beat the Pittsburgh Penguins at Honda Center on Sunday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NHL model.

Our Penguins vs. Ducks prediction gives Anaheim a 51.4% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the under 6.5 goals.

Penguins vs. Ducks key predictions

• Ducks win probability: 51.4%
• Penguins win probability: 48.5%
• Penguins +1.5 puck line: 68.8% cover probability
• Over 6.5 goals: 53.4% probability

Our NHL predictions estimate how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent performance, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

We then calculate the probability of each team winning and covering the puck line, plus the chance the game goes over or under the total, and compare those probabilities with the latest odds to find betting value.

Penguins vs. Ducks odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets we track. Novig has the best price in every market for this game.

• Penguins moneyline: 48¢ (Novig)
• Ducks moneyline: 53¢ (Novig)
• Penguins +1.5: 69¢ (Novig)
• Ducks -1.5: 32¢ (Novig)
• Over 6.5 goals: 58¢ (Novig)
• Under 6.5 goals: 43¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Penguins vs. Ducks pick: Under 6.5 (43¢)

Our model makes the Ducks the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 6.5 total goals at 43¢ on Novig.

Those odds give the under an implied probability of 43.0%, while our model puts it at 46.6%.

That's a 3.6% edge, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets for this game.

Penguins vs. Ducks goal-scorer predictions

Our NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, opponent strength, and projected team goals.

Cutter Gauthier of the Ducks leads the anytime goal-scorer projections for Sunday's game at 44.5%, ahead of teammate Tristan Luneau (36.3%). Pittsburgh's most likely goal-scorer, Sidney Crosby, is further back at 34.7%. Gauthier also leads the first goal-scorer projections at 9.3%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

1. Cutter Gauthier (Ducks): 44.5%
2. Tristan Luneau (Ducks): 36.3%
3. Sidney Crosby (Penguins): 34.7%
4. Rickard Rakell (Penguins): 34.3%
5. Beckett Sennecke (Ducks): 32.0%

First goal-scorer predictions

1. Cutter Gauthier (Ducks): 9.3%
2. Sidney Crosby (Penguins): 6.7%
3. Tristan Luneau (Ducks): 6.6%
4. Rickard Rakell (Penguins): 6.2%
5. Leo Carlsson (Ducks): 5.5%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to assess potential value.

Get every Penguins vs. Ducks prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Penguins vs. Ducks predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets

Penguins vs. Ducks game details

• Matchup: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Anaheim Ducks
• Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026
• Puck drop: 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: Honda Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NHL models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or starting goaltender confirmations. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.