Penguins vs. Kings prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 7, 2026

The Los Angeles Kings are favored to beat the Pittsburgh Penguins at Crypto.com Arena on Saturday (9:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NHL model.

Our Penguins vs. Kings prediction gives Los Angeles a 52.2% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the under 6.5 goals.

Penguins vs. Kings key predictions

• Kings win probability: 52.2%
• Penguins win probability: 47.7%
• Penguins +1.5 puck line: 68.7% cover probability
• Under 6.5 goals: 54.6% probability

Our NHL predictions estimate how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent performance, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

We then calculate the probability of each team winning and covering the puck line, plus the chance the game goes over or under the total, and compare those probabilities with the latest odds to find betting value.

Penguins vs. Kings odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets we track. Novig has the best price in every market for this game.

• Penguins moneyline: 48¢ (Novig)
• Kings moneyline: 52¢ (Novig)
• Penguins +1.5: 69¢ (Novig)
• Kings -1.5: 32¢ (Novig)
• Over 6.5 goals: 49¢ (Novig)
• Under 6.5 goals: 53¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Penguins vs. Kings pick: Under 6.5 (53¢)

Our model makes the Kings the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 6.5 total goals at 53¢ on Novig.

Those odds give the under an implied probability of 52.5%, while our model puts it at 54.6%.

That's a 2.1% edge, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets for this game.

Penguins vs. Kings goal-scorer predictions

Our NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, opponent strength, and projected team goals.

Artemi Panarin of the Kings leads the anytime goal-scorer projections for Saturday's game at 37.2%, ahead of teammate Adrian Kempe (36.6%). Pittsburgh's most likely goal-scorer, Rickard Rakell, is further back at 31.4%. Kempe and Panarin share the highest first goal-scorer probability at 7.6% each.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

1. Artemi Panarin (Kings): 37.2%
2. Adrian Kempe (Kings): 36.6%
3. Rickard Rakell (Penguins): 31.4%
4. Sidney Crosby (Penguins): 31.2%
5. Quinton Byfield (Kings): 27.4%

First goal-scorer predictions

1. Artemi Panarin (Kings): 7.6%
2. Adrian Kempe (Kings): 7.6%
3. Sidney Crosby (Penguins): 6.5%
4. Rickard Rakell (Penguins): 6.5%
5. Quinton Byfield (Kings): 4.9%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to assess potential value.

Get every Penguins vs. Kings prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Penguins vs. Kings predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets

Penguins vs. Kings game details

• Matchup: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Los Angeles Kings
• Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
• Puck drop: 9:00 PM ET
• Venue: Crypto.com Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NHL models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or starting goaltender confirmations. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.