Alex Michelsen vs. Alejandro Tabilo prediction, odds, picks for ATP Stockholm Open 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Thursday's Michelsen-Tabilo men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Michelsen a 78% chance of beating Tabilo at the ATP Stockholm Open tournament. Additionally, Michelsen has a 74% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Michelsen (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 58% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Alejandro Tabilo +317, Alex Michelsen -380
• First Set: Michelsen -303, Tabilo +240

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Michelsen @ -380 via DraftKings
• First Set: Tabilo @ -140 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Stockholm Open match between Alex Michelsen and Alejandro Tabilo is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 7:00 AM ET.

• Who: Alex Michelsen vs. Alejandro Tabilo
• Date: Thursday, November 12, 2026
• Approx. Time: 7:00 AM ET/4:00 AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Stockholm, Sweden Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Quarterfinals

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Alex Michelsen, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat Alejandro Tabilo at the ATP Stockholm Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.