Sep 3, 2026
Botic Van de Zandschulp vs. Alex de Minaur prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026
Read Article Alex Michelsen vs. Daniel Merida prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Add Dimers on Google 
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Michelsen vs Merida predictions for US Open 2026.
Alex Michelsen will face Daniel Merida in the third round of the US Open Men's Singles 2026 on Friday.
Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Alex Michelsen as the most likely winner in this Michelsen vs. Merida prediction.
This article offers further insights into Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Michelsen vs. Merida prediction and odds
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Michelsen-Merida men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Michelsen a 61% chance of defeating Merida in the US Open 2026.
Additionally, Michelsen has a 60% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Michelsen (-2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 38.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Daniel Merida +140, Alex Michelsen -167
- First Set: Michelsen -152, Merida +120
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Merida @ +140 via DraftKings
- First Set: Merida @ -118 via DraftKings
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Daniel Merida to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first serve details
The US Open 2026 match between Alex Michelsen and Daniel Merida is scheduled to start on Friday at 4:30 PM ET.
- Who: Alex Michelsen vs. Daniel Merida
- Date: Friday, September 4, 2026
- Approx. Time: 4:30 PM ET/1:30PM PT
- Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Third round
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Alex Michelsen, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat Daniel Merida at the US Open 2026.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Lock in for all of NFL & College Football. Every plan unlocks every model, tool and insight, only the billing term changes.
MOST FLEXIBLE
Monthly billed monthly
$29.99
Month to month Pay as you go RECOMMENDED
6 Months one payment
$99.99 $149.99
6 months $16.67 per month Save $79.95 · 44% Early bird price BEST VALUE
Annual first year
$149.99 $199.99
12 months $12.50 per month Save $209.89 · 58% Early bird price Every plan includes
Full site access
iOS & Android app
AI bet assistant
Unlimited picks & predictions
Unlimited best bets & props
Unlimited player projections
Private Discord community
Cancel or pause anytime
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
Advertiser disclosure
