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Read Article Damir Dzumhur vs. Adrian Mannarino prediction, odds, picks for ATP Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Editor
Get Dzumhur vs Mannarino predictions for ATP Italian Open.
Damir Dzumhur will take on Adrian Mannarino in the round of 128 at the ATP Rome event on Wednesday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Damir Dzumhur as the most likely winner of the Dzumhur vs. Mannarino match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Dzumhur vs. Mannarino prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Dzumhur-Mannarino men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Dzumhur a 74% chance of winning against Mannarino at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Dzumhur has a 70% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Mannarino (+4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 21.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Damir Dzumhur vs. Adrian Mannarino odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dzumhur | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -294 | +285 |
| First Set | -278 | +220 |
| Game Spread | -4.5 (-110) | +4.5 (-120) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-108) | u21.5 (-126) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dzumhur vs. Mannarino picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mannarino | +285 |
| First Set | Mannarino | -108 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Adrian Mannarino to win.
Although Mannarino is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Dzumhur vs. Mannarino updates and essential details
The ATP Italian Open match between Damir Dzumhur and Adrian Mannarino is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 5:00 AM ET.
- Who: Damir Dzumhur vs. Adrian Mannarino
- Date: Wednesday, May 6, 2026
- Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Damir Dzumhur, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat Adrian Mannarino at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver specializes in sports betting analysis across the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. Drawing on advanced statistical models, simulations, and historical data, he produces game previews, betting picks, player prop analysis, and futures coverage to help bettors make more informed decisions.
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