Daniel Merida vs. Andrey Rublev prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Daniel Merida and Andrey Rublev are scheduled to meet in the second round of the US Open 2026 on Wednesday.

Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Andrey Rublev as the most likely winner in this Merida vs. Rublev prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Merida vs. Rublev prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Merida-Rublev men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Rublev a 53% chance of winning against Merida in the US Open 2026.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Andrey Rublev -160, Daniel Merida +140

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Merida @ +140 via DraftKings
• First Set: Rublev @ -115 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Daniel Merida to win.

Although Merida is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Daniel Merida and Andrey Rublev is scheduled to commence on Wednesday at 11:00 AM ET.

• Who: Daniel Merida vs. Andrey Rublev
• Date: Wednesday, September 2, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:00 AM ET/8:00AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Second round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Andrey Rublev, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat Daniel Merida at the US Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.