Daria Kasatkina vs. Jelena Ostapenko prediction, odds, picks for WTA Wuhan Open 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Monday's Kasatkina-Ostapenko women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Ostapenko a 55% chance of winning against Kasatkina at the WTA Wuhan Open tournament. Additionally, Ostapenko has a 54% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Kasatkina (+2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Jelena Ostapenko -133, Daria Kasatkina +120
• First Set: Kasatkina +120, Ostapenko -152

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Kasatkina @ +120 via DraftKings
• First Set: Ostapenko @ -140 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The WTA Wuhan Open match between Daria Kasatkina and Jelena Ostapenko is scheduled to begin on Monday at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Daria Kasatkina vs. Jelena Ostapenko
• Date: Monday, October 12, 2026
• Approx. Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Tournament: WTA Wuhan, China Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 64

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Jelena Ostapenko, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat Daria Kasatkina at the WTA Wuhan Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.