Holger Rune vs. Daniel Altmaier prediction, odds, picks for ATP Shanghai Masters 2026

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Wednesday's Rune-Altmaier men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Rune a 63% chance of winning against Altmaier at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament. Additionally, Rune has a 61% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Altmaier (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 22.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Daniel Altmaier +175, Holger Rune -211
• First Set: Rune -189, Altmaier +150

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Altmaier @ +175 via DraftKings
• First Set: Altmaier @ -110 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Shanghai Masters match between Holger Rune and Daniel Altmaier is scheduled to commence on Wednesday at 9:00 AM ET.

• Who: Holger Rune vs. Daniel Altmaier
• Date: Wednesday, October 7, 2026
• Approx. Time: 9:00 AM ET/6:00AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Shanghai, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 128

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Holger Rune, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat Daniel Altmaier at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.