Jaime Faria vs. Carlos Alcaraz prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Jaime Faria and Carlos Alcaraz will lock horns in the second round of the US Open 2026 on Wednesday.

Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Carlos Alcaraz as the most likely winner in this Faria vs. Alcaraz prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Faria vs. Alcaraz prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Faria-Alcaraz men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Alcaraz an 88% chance of winning against Faria in the US Open 2026.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Carlos Alcaraz -1000, Jaime Faria +890

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Faria @ +890 via DraftKings
• First Set: Alcaraz @ -105 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 32.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Jaime Faria and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 8:25 PM ET.

• Who: Jaime Faria vs. Carlos Alcaraz
• Date: Wednesday, September 2, 2026
• Approx. Time: 8:25 PM ET/5:25PM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Second round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Carlos Alcaraz, with an 88% win probability, will likely beat Jaime Faria at the US Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.