Jakub Mensik vs. Jurij Rodionov prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Jakub Mensik will take on Jurij Rodionov in the second round of the US Open Men's Singles 2026 on Thursday.

Dimers' proven tennis model projects Jakub Mensik as the most likely winner in this Mensik vs. Rodionov prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Mensik vs. Rodionov prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Mensik-Rodionov men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Mensik an 88% chance of beating Rodionov in the US Open 2026.

Additionally, Mensik has an 81% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Mensik (-6.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 35.5 games has a 63% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Jurij Rodionov +580, Jakub Mensik -800
• First Set: Mensik -400, Rodionov +300

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Mensik @ -800 via DraftKings
• First Set: Rodionov @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 35.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Jakub Mensik and Jurij Rodionov is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 1:40 PM ET.

• Who: Jakub Mensik vs. Jurij Rodionov
• Date: Thursday, September 3, 2026
• Approx. Time: 1:40 PM ET/10:40AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Second round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Jakub Mensik, with an 88% win probability, will likely beat Jurij Rodionov at the US Open 2026.

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