Jasmine Paolini vs. Sonay Kartal prediction, odds, picks for WTA Wuhan Open 2026

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Written by Damien Souness

Get Paolini vs Kartal predictions for WTA Wuhan Open.

Jasmine Paolini takes on Sonay Kartal in WTA Wuhan action.
Our Jasmine Paolini and Sonay Kartal tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Jasmine Paolini will face Sonay Kartal in the round of 16 at the WTA Wuhan event on Thursday.

Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Sonay Kartal as the most likely winner in this Paolini vs. Kartal prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Paolini vs. Kartal prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Thursday's Paolini-Kartal women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Kartal a 52% chance of defeating Paolini at the WTA Wuhan Open tournament. Additionally, Kartal has a 51% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Paolini (+0.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.

 

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

  • Moneyline: Sonay Kartal -105, Jasmine Paolini -111
  • First Set: Paolini -125, Kartal +100

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Moneyline: Kartal @ -105 via DraftKings
  • First Set: Kartal @ -130 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The WTA Wuhan Open match between Jasmine Paolini and Sonay Kartal is scheduled to start on Thursday at 1:20 AM ET.

  • Who: Jasmine Paolini vs. Sonay Kartal
  • Date: Thursday, October 15, 2026
  • Approx. Time: 1:20 AM ET/10:20PM PT
  • Tournament: WTA Wuhan, China Women's Singles 2026
  • Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Sonay Kartal, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat Jasmine Paolini at the WTA Wuhan Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Experience Officer

Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.

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