Jaume Munar vs. Jaime Faria prediction, odds, picks for ATP Japan Open 2026

Jaume Munar will square off with Jaime Faria in the round of 16 at the ATP Tokyo event on Thursday.

Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Jaume Munar as the most likely winner in this Munar vs. Faria prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Munar vs. Faria prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Thursday's Munar-Faria men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Munar a 57% chance of beating Faria at the ATP Japan Open tournament. Additionally, Munar has a 56% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Munar (-1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 23.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Jaime Faria +139, Jaume Munar -160
• First Set: Munar -152, Faria +120

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Faria @ +139 via DraftKings
• First Set: Faria @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Jaime Faria to win.

Although Faria is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Japan Open match between Jaume Munar and Jaime Faria is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Jaume Munar vs. Jaime Faria
• Date: Thursday, October 1, 2026
• Approx. Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Tokyo, Japan Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Jaume Munar, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat Jaime Faria at the ATP Japan Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.