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Read Article Jesper De Jong vs. Sebastian Baez prediction, odds, picks for ATP Swedish Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get De Jong vs Baez predictions for ATP Swedish Open.
Jesper De Jong and Sebastian Baez will meet in the round of 16 of the ATP Swedish Open event on Thursday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Sebastian Baez as the most likely winner of the De Jong vs. Baez match.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
De Jong vs. Baez prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's De Jong-Baez men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Baez a 51% chance of winning against De Jong at the ATP Swedish Open tournament.
Jesper De Jong vs. Sebastian Baez odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | De Jong | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -106 | +100 |
| Game Spread | -1.5 (-115) | +1.5 (-125) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-110) | u22.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
De Jong vs. Baez picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | De Jong | -106 |
| First Set | Baez | -110 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Jesper De Jong to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
De Jong vs. Baez updates and essential details
The ATP Swedish Open match between Jesper De Jong and Sebastian Baez is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 2:00 PM ET.
- Who: Jesper De Jong vs. Sebastian Baez
- Date: Thursday, July 16, 2026
- Approx. Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Bastad, Sweden Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Sebastian Baez, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat Jesper De Jong at the ATP Swedish Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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