Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Nicolas Mejia prediction, odds, picks for ATP Shanghai Masters 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Thursday's Cerundolo-Mejia men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Cerundolo a 64% chance of winning against Mejia at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament. Additionally, Cerundolo has a 62% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Cerundolo (-2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 23.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Nicolas Mejia +190, Juan Cerundolo -220
• First Set: Cerundolo -189, Mejia +150

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Mejia @ +190 via DraftKings
• First Set: Mejia @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Nicolas Mejia to win.

Although Mejia is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Shanghai Masters match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Nicolas Mejia is scheduled to start on Thursday at 2:20 AM ET.

• Who: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Nicolas Mejia
• Date: Thursday, October 8, 2026
• Approx. Time: 2:20 AM ET/11:20PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Shanghai, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 128

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Juan Cerundolo, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat Nicolas Mejia at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.