Lloyd Harris vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic prediction, odds, picks for ATP Chengdu Open 2026

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Thursday's Harris-Kovacevic men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Harris a 64% chance of winning against Kovacevic at the ATP Chengdu Open tournament. Additionally, Harris has a 62% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Harris (-1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 25.5 games has a 61% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Aleksandar Kovacevic +166, Lloyd Harris -190
• First Set: Harris -164, Kovacevic +130

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Kovacevic @ +166 via DraftKings
• First Set: Kovacevic @ -125 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Aleksandar Kovacevic to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Chengdu Open match between Lloyd Harris and Aleksandar Kovacevic is scheduled to start on Thursday at 3:20 AM ET.

• Who: Lloyd Harris vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic
• Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026
• Approx. Time: 3:20 AM ET/12:20AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Chengdu, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Lloyd Harris, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat Aleksandar Kovacevic at the ATP Chengdu Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.