Lorenzo Musetti vs. Luca Van Assche prediction, odds, picks for ATP Paris Masters 2026

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Thursday's Musetti-Van Assche men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Musetti a 75% chance of winning against Van Assche at the ATP Paris Masters tournament. Additionally, Musetti has a 71% chance of winning the first set, while the under 22.5 games has a 59% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Luca Van Assche +250, Lorenzo Musetti -291
• First Set: Musetti -227, Van Assche +175

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Musetti @ -291 via DraftKings
• First Set: Van Assche @ -120 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Lorenzo Musetti to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Paris Masters match between Lorenzo Musetti and Luca Van Assche is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 7:20 AM ET.

• Who: Lorenzo Musetti vs. Luca Van Assche
• Date: Thursday, November 5, 2026
• Approx. Time: 7:20 AM ET/4:20 AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Paris, France Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Lorenzo Musetti, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat Luca Van Assche at the ATP Paris Masters tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.