Nuno Borges vs. Karen Khachanov prediction, odds, picks for ATP Paris Masters 2026

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Wednesday's Borges-Khachanov men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Khachanov a 63% chance of beating Borges at the ATP Paris Masters tournament. Additionally, Khachanov has a 59% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Borges (+2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 24.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Karen Khachanov -216, Nuno Borges +180
• First Set: Borges +150, Khachanov -189

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Borges @ +180 via DraftKings
• First Set: Khachanov @ -130 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Nuno Borges to win.

Although Borges is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Paris Masters match between Nuno Borges and Karen Khachanov is scheduled to start on Wednesday at 9:30 AM ET.

• Who: Nuno Borges vs. Karen Khachanov
• Date: Wednesday, November 4, 2026
• Approx. Time: 9:30 AM ET/6:30 AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Paris, France Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Karen Khachanov, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat Nuno Borges at the ATP Paris Masters tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.