Maya Joint vs. Maria Sakkari prediction, odds, picks for WTA Hong Kong Open 2026

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Joint-Sakkari women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Sakkari a 62% chance of beating Joint at the WTA Hong Kong Open tournament. Additionally, Sakkari has a 59% chance of winning the first set, while the under 22.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Maria Sakkari -182, Maya Joint +164
• First Set: Joint +137, Sakkari -175

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Joint @ +164 via DraftKings
• First Set: Sakkari @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Maya Joint to win.

Although Joint is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The WTA Hong Kong Open match between Maya Joint and Maria Sakkari is scheduled to start on Wednesday at 5:30 AM ET.

• Who: Maya Joint vs. Maria Sakkari
• Date: Wednesday, November 4, 2026
• Approx. Time: 5:30 AM ET/2:30 AM PT
• Tournament: WTA Hong Kong, Hong Kong Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Maria Sakkari, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat Maya Joint at the WTA Hong Kong Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.