Ignacio Buse vs. Daniil Medvedev prediction, odds, picks for ATP Paris Masters 2026

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Buse-Medvedev men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Medvedev an 85% chance of defeating Buse at the ATP Paris Masters tournament. Additionally, Medvedev has a 78% chance of winning the first set, while the under 20.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Daniil Medvedev -690, Ignacio Buse +600
• First Set: Buse +400, Medvedev -625

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Buse @ +600 via DraftKings
• First Set: Medvedev @ -125 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 20.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Paris Masters match between Ignacio Buse and Daniil Medvedev is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 5:00 AM ET.

• Who: Ignacio Buse vs. Daniil Medvedev
• Date: Wednesday, November 4, 2026
• Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00 AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Paris, France Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Daniil Medvedev, with an 85% win probability, will likely beat Ignacio Buse at the ATP Paris Masters tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.