Tommy Paul vs. Holger Rune prediction, odds, picks for ATP Paris Masters 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's Paul-Rune men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Paul a 69% chance of defeating Rune at the ATP Paris Masters tournament.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Holger Rune +199, Tommy Paul -250

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Paul @ -250 via DraftKings
• First Set: Rune @ -125 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Tommy Paul to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Paris Masters match between Tommy Paul and Holger Rune is scheduled to start on Sunday at 5:00 AM ET.

• Who: Tommy Paul vs. Holger Rune
• Date: Sunday, November 1, 2026
• Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00 AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Paris, France Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 64

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Tommy Paul, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat Holger Rune at the ATP Paris Masters tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.