Matteo Arnaldi vs. James Duckworth prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Matteo Arnaldi and James Duckworth will meet in the first round of the US Open 2026 on Monday.

Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Matteo Arnaldi as the most likely winner in this Arnaldi vs. Duckworth prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Arnaldi vs. Duckworth prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's Arnaldi-Duckworth men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Arnaldi a 58% chance of defeating Duckworth in the US Open 2026.

Matteo Arnaldi vs. James Duckworth odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: James Duckworth +146, Matteo Arnaldi -166

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Arnaldi vs. Duckworth picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Duckworth @ +146 via DraftKings
• First Set: Duckworth @ -130 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is James Duckworth to win.

Although Duckworth is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Arnaldi vs. Duckworth updates and essential details

The US Open 2026 match between Matteo Arnaldi and James Duckworth is scheduled to start on Monday at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Matteo Arnaldi vs. James Duckworth
• Date: Monday, August 31, 2026
• Approx. Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: First round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Matteo Arnaldi, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat James Duckworth at the US Open 2026.

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