Tommy Paul vs. Andrey Rublev prediction, odds, picks for ATP Vienna Open 2026

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Monday's Paul-Rublev men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Paul a 57% chance of defeating Rublev at the ATP Vienna Open tournament.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Andrey Rublev +130, Tommy Paul -156

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Rublev @ +130 via DraftKings
• First Set: Rublev @ -140 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Andrey Rublev to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Vienna Open match between Tommy Paul and Andrey Rublev is scheduled to commence on Monday at 8:00 AM ET.

• Who: Tommy Paul vs. Andrey Rublev
• Date: Monday, October 26, 2026
• Approx. Time: 8:00 AM ET/5:00 AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Vienna, Austria Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Tommy Paul, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat Andrey Rublev at the ATP Vienna Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.