Moise Kouame vs. Alexandre Muller prediction, odds, picks for ATP Chengdu Open 2026

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Thursday's Kouame-Muller men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Kouame a 51% chance of winning against Muller at the ATP Chengdu Open tournament. Additionally, Kouame has a 52% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the oddsmakers have got it right with the -0.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the under 23.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Alexandre Muller +100, Moise Kouame -121
• First Set: Kouame -111, Muller -111

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Muller @ +100 via DraftKings
• First Set: Muller @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Alexandre Muller to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Chengdu Open match between Moise Kouame and Alexandre Muller is scheduled to start on Thursday at 2:10 AM ET.

• Who: Moise Kouame vs. Alexandre Muller
• Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026
• Approx. Time: 2:10 AM ET/11:10PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Chengdu, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Moise Kouame, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat Alexandre Muller at the ATP Chengdu Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.