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Read Article Nicolas Mejia vs. Lorenzo Musetti prediction, odds, picks for ATP Montreal 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Mejia vs Musetti predictions for ATP Montreal.
Nicolas Mejia will face Lorenzo Musetti in the round of 64 at the ATP Montreal event on Wednesday.
Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Lorenzo Musetti as the most likely winner in this Mejia vs. Musetti prediction.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks, backed by the same predictive analytics that recently spotted value throughout Alex Eala's DC Open run.
Mejia vs. Musetti prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Mejia-Musetti men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Musetti an 83% chance of defeating Mejia at the ATP Montreal tournament.
Nicolas Mejia vs. Lorenzo Musetti odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mejia | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +590 | -752 |
| Game Spread | +4.5 (+108) | -4.5 (-142) |
| Total Games | o20.5 (-110) | u20.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mejia vs. Musetti picks and best bet
After going 5-for-5 on Spain-France picks last nights, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mejia | +590 |
| First Set | Musetti | -120 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Nicolas Mejia to win.
Although Mejia is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mejia vs. Musetti updates and essential details
The ATP Montreal match between Nicolas Mejia and Lorenzo Musetti is scheduled to start on Wednesday at 11:00 AM ET.
- Who: Nicolas Mejia vs. Lorenzo Musetti
- Date: Wednesday, August 5, 2026
- Approx. Time: 11:00 AM ET/8:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Montreal, Canada Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Lorenzo Musetti, with an 83% win probability, will likely beat Nicolas Mejia at the ATP Montreal tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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