Vit Kopriva vs. Denis Shapovalov prediction, odds, picks for ATP Chengdu Open 2026

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Friday's Kopriva-Shapovalov men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Shapovalov a 78% chance of winning against Kopriva at the ATP Chengdu Open tournament. Additionally, Shapovalov has a 72% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Kopriva (+4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the **over/under of 21.5 games has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Denis Shapovalov -426, Vit Kopriva +360
• First Set: Kopriva +275, Shapovalov -357

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Kopriva @ +360 via DraftKings
• First Set: Shapovalov @ -105 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Chengdu Open match between Vit Kopriva and Denis Shapovalov is scheduled to begin on Friday at 1:00 AM ET.

• Who: Vit Kopriva vs. Denis Shapovalov
• Date: Friday, September 25, 2026
• Approx. Time: 1:00 AM ET/10:00PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Chengdu, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Denis Shapovalov, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat Vit Kopriva at the ATP Chengdu Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.