Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta prediction, odds, picks for Wimbledon 2026

Rafael Jodar will take on Pablo Carreno Busta in the second round of Wimbledon Men's Singles 2026 on Wednesday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Rafael Jodar as the most likely winner of the Jodar vs. Carreno Busta match.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Jodar vs. Carreno Busta prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Jodar-Carreno Busta men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Jodar a 76% chance of defeating Carreno Busta at Wimbledon 2026.

Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Jodar	Carreno Busta
Moneyline	-437	+340
Game Spread	-5.5 (-130)	+5.5 (-104)
Total Games	o37.5 (-110)	u37.5 (-130)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Jodar vs. Carreno Busta picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Carreno Busta	+340
First Set	Carreno Busta	-130

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Pablo Carreno Busta to win.

Although Carreno Busta is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Jodar vs. Carreno Busta updates and essential details

The Wimbledon 2026 match between Rafael Jodar and Pablo Carreno Busta is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 1:30 PM ET.

• Who: Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta
• Date: Wednesday, July 1, 2026
• Approx. Time: 1:30 PM ET/10:30AM PT
• Tournament: Wimbledon Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Second round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Rafael Jodar, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat Pablo Carreno Busta at Wimbledon 2026.

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