Renata Zarazua vs. Aryna Sabalenka prediction, odds, picks for WTA China Open 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Friday's Zarazua-Sabalenka women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Sabalenka a 94% chance of winning against Zarazua at the WTA China Open tournament. Additionally, Sabalenka has an 89% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Zarazua (+7.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 17.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Aryna Sabalenka -4545, Renata Zarazua +1600
• First Set: Zarazua +800, Sabalenka -1429

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Zarazua @ +1600 via DraftKings
• First Set: Sabalenka @ -143 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 17.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The WTA China Open match between Renata Zarazua and Aryna Sabalenka is scheduled to commence on Friday at 7:00 AM ET.

• Who: Renata Zarazua vs. Aryna Sabalenka
• Date: Friday, October 2, 2026
• Approx. Time: 7:00 AM ET/4:00AM PT
• Tournament: WTA Beijing, China Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 64

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Aryna Sabalenka, with a 94% win probability, will likely beat Renata Zarazua at the WTA China Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.