Roman Safiullin vs. Carlos Alcaraz prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Roman Safiullin and Carlos Alcaraz will meet in the first round of the US Open 2026 on Monday.

Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Carlos Alcaraz as the most likely winner in this Safiullin vs. Alcaraz prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Safiullin vs. Alcaraz prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Safiullin-Alcaraz men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Alcaraz an 82% chance of beating Safiullin in the US Open 2026.

Roman Safiullin vs. Carlos Alcaraz odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Carlos Alcaraz -526, Roman Safiullin +420

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Safiullin vs. Alcaraz picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Safiullin @ +420 via DraftKings
• First Set: Alcaraz @ -109 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 35.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Safiullin vs. Alcaraz updates and essential details

The US Open 2026 match between Roman Safiullin and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to commence on Monday at 12:40 PM ET.

• Who: Roman Safiullin vs. Carlos Alcaraz
• Date: Monday, August 31, 2026
• Approx. Time: 12:40 PM ET/9:40AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: First round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Carlos Alcaraz, with an 82% win probability, will likely beat Roman Safiullin at the US Open 2026.

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