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Read Article Sebastian Baez vs. Mattia Bellucci prediction, odds, picks for ATP Montreal 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Baez vs Bellucci predictions for ATP Montreal.
Sebastian Baez will square off with Mattia Bellucci in the round of 128 at the ATP Montreal event on Tuesday.
Dimers' proven tennis model projects Sebastian Baez as the most likely winner in this Baez vs. Bellucci prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Baez vs. Bellucci prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's Baez-Bellucci men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Baez a 54% chance of winning against Bellucci at the ATP Montreal tournament.
Sebastian Baez vs. Mattia Bellucci odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Baez | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -120 | +100 |
| Game Spread | -1.5 (-110) | +1.5 (-125) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-110) | u22.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Baez vs. Bellucci picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Baez | -120 |
| First Set | Bellucci | -110 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Sebastian Baez to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Baez vs. Bellucci updates and essential details
The ATP Montreal match between Sebastian Baez and Mattia Bellucci is scheduled to commence on Tuesday at 11:00 AM ET.
- Who: Sebastian Baez vs. Mattia Bellucci
- Date: Tuesday, August 4, 2026
- Approx. Time: 11:00 AM ET/8:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Montreal, Canada Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Sebastian Baez, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Mattia Bellucci at the ATP Montreal tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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