Tatjana Maria vs. Taylor Townsend prediction, odds, picks for WTA Guadalajara Open 2026

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Monday's Maria-Townsend women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Townsend a 70% chance of defeating Maria at the WTA Guadalajara Open tournament. Additionally, Townsend has a 66% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Townsend (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 21.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Taylor Townsend -245, Tatjana Maria +228
• First Set: Maria +175, Townsend -227

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Maria @ +228 via DraftKings
• First Set: Townsend @ -125 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Tatjana Maria to win.

Although Maria is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The WTA Guadalajara Open match between Tatjana Maria and Taylor Townsend is scheduled to start on Monday at 3:10 PM ET.

• Who: Tatjana Maria vs. Taylor Townsend
• Date: Monday, September 14, 2026
• Approx. Time: 3:10 PM ET/12:10PM PT
• Tournament: WTA Guadalajara, Mexico Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Taylor Townsend, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat Tatjana Maria at the WTA Guadalajara Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.