Tennis bets today: 10 picks for Wednesday ft. Pegula vs. Frech [8/5/2026]
Get ATP & WTA predictions and picks for Wednesday, August 5, 2026.
Today’s tennis picks for August 5, 2026 are here, with Jessica Pegula vs. Magdalena Frech and Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Joao Fonseca among the top plays identified by our model across Wednesday’s tennis slate.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest tennis odds to discover genuine betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of tennis picks today [8/5, updated 2:11AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 tennis best bets, ranked by edge for Wednesday, August 5, 2026.
WTA Toronto: Magdalena Frech vs. Jessica Pegula Over 18.5 total games (-120)
- Edge: 7.8%
- Probability: 62.4%
- Matchup: Jessica Pegula vs. Magdalena Frech (12:10PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Over 18.5 total games in Magdalena Frech vs. Jessica Pegula at -120 odds in their matchup at WTA Toronto. A 62.4% probability produces an edge of 7.8%, making this the strongest play for today's tennis slate.
ATP Montreal: Stefanos Tsitsipas ML (+128)
- Edge: 6.0%
- Probability: 50.2%
- Matchup: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Joao Fonseca (11:00AM ET)
At ATP Montreal, Stefanos Tsitsipas ML carries a 6.0% edge and a probability of 50.2% at +128 odds, according to our model.
ATP Montreal: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Titouan Droguet Under 22.5 total games (-132)
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 62%
- Matchup: Titouan Droguet vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime (7:00PM ET)
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Titouan Droguet Under 22.5 total games at -132 odds shows a 5.1% edge, supported by a 62% probability in simulations of the ATP Montreal match.
ATP Montreal: Felix Auger-Aliassime -3.5 (-150)
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 64.3%
- Matchup: Titouan Droguet vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime (7:00PM ET)
A 4.3% edge and 64.3% probability makes Felix Auger-Aliassime -3.5 vs. Titouan Droguet a value play in the Titouan Droguet vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime matchup, per our model.
WTA Toronto: Kayla Cross vs. Ann Li Over 19.5 total games (-120)
- Edge: 3.7%
- Probability: 58.2%
- Matchup: Ann Li vs. Kayla Cross (11:00AM ET)
Kayla Cross vs. Ann Li Over 19.5 total games at -120 odds presents a 3.7% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 58.2%.
ATP Montreal: Thiago Tirante +4.5 (-102)
- Edge: 3.5%
- Probability: 54%
- Matchup: Thiago Tirante vs. Taylor Fritz (1:20PM ET)
Our model finds value on Thiago Tirante +4.5 at -102 odds at ATP Brisbane, supported by an edge of 3.5%.
ATP Montreal: Thiago Tirante ML (+530)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 19.8%
- Matchup: Thiago Tirante vs. Taylor Fritz (1:20PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Taylor Fritz-Thiago Tirante to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at +530 odds. A 19.8% probability produces a 3.4% edge, making this a strong play for today's tennis action.
ATP Montreal: Stefanos Tsitsipas +1.5 (-108)
- Edge: 3.1%
- Probability: 55%
- Matchup: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Joao Fonseca (11:00AM ET)
A 3.1% edge on a 55% probability makes Stefanos Tsitsipas +1.5 at -108 odds a solid value play in this ATP Montreal matchup.
ATP Montreal: Nicolas Mejia ML (+640)
- Edge: 2.9%
- Probability: 16.4%
- Matchup: Nicolas Mejia vs. Lorenzo Musetti (11:00AM ET)
Our model projects value on Nicolas Mejia to win at +640 odds. A 16.4% probability produces a 2.9% edge, making Nicolas Mejia the favorable ML play in today's ATP Montreal matchup.
WTA Toronto: Daria Kasatkina ML (+530)
- Edge: 2.5%
- Probability: 17.5%
- Matchup: Daria Kasatkina vs. Elena Rybakina (12:30PM ET)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Daria Kasatkina to defeat Elena Rybakina at +530 odds shows a 17.5% probability and a 2.5% edge.
Tennis best bets summary: Wednesday, 8/5/2026
As of 2:11AM ET, here are our top tennis bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pegula vs. Frech | Over 18.5 total games | -120 @ DraftKings | 7.8% | 62.4% |
| Tsitsipas vs. Fonseca | Stefanos Tsitsipas ML | +128 @ FanDuel | 6.0% | 50.2% |
| Droguet vs. Auger-Aliassime | Under 22.5 Total Games | -132 @ FanDuel | 5.1% | 62% |
| Droguet vs. Auger-Aliassime | Felix Auger-Aliassime -3.5 vs. Titouan Droguet | -150 @ Caesars | 4.3% | 64.3% |
| Li vs. Cross | Over 19.5 Total Games | -120 @ DraftKings | 3.7% | 58.2% |
| Tirante vs. Fritz | Thiago Tirante +4.5 Games | -102 @ FanDuel | 3.5% | 54% |
| Tirante vs. Fritz | Thiago Tirante ML | +530 @ FanDuel | 3.4% | 19.8% |
| Tsitsipas vs. Fonseca | Stefanos Tsitsipas +1.5 Games | -108 @ FanDuel | 3.1% | 55% |
| Mejia vs. Musetti | Nicolas Mejia ML | +640 @ FanDuel | 2.9% | 16.4% |
| Kasatkina vs. Rybakina | Daria Kasatkina ML | +530 @ FanDuel | 2.5% | 17.5% |
List of upcoming tennis matches to bet on now
- WTA Toronto: Kayla Cross vs. Ann Li (11:00AM ET, Wednesday)
- ATP Montreal: Tomas Etcheverry vs. Nuno Borges (11:00AM ET, Wednesday)
- ATP Montreal: Mariano Navone vs. Valentin Vacherot (11:00AM ET, Wednesday)
- ATP Montreal: Lorenzo Musetti vs. Nicolas Mejia (11:00AM ET, Wednesday)
- ATP Montreal: Sebastian Baez vs. Zizou Bergs (11:00AM ET, Wednesday)
- ATP Montreal: Joao Fonseca vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas (11:00AM ET, Wednesday)
- WTA Toronto: Magdalena Frech vs. Jessica Pegula (12:10PM ET, Wednesday)
- ATP Montreal: Arthur Rinderknech vs. Miomir Kecmanovic (12:10PM ET, Wednesday)
- ATP Montreal: Ben Shelton vs. Jenson Brooksby (12:10PM ET, Wednesday)
- ATP Montreal: Arthur Fils vs. Zachary Svajda (12:10PM ET, Wednesday)
Conclusion
Our tennis best bets are locked and loaded for August 5, 2026, featuring plays such as over 18.5 total games in the Jessica Pegula vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas matchup and Stefanos Tsitsipas ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
