Tennis bets today: 10 picks for Sunday ft. Swiatek vs. Arango [8/16/2026]
Get ATP & WTA predictions and picks for Sunday, August 16, 2026.
Today’s tennis picks for August 16, 2026 are here, with Iga Swiatek vs. Emiliana Arango among the top plays identified by our model across Sunday’s tennis action.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest tennis odds to find top betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of tennis picks today [8/16, updated 4:06AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 tennis best bets, ranked by edge for Sunday, August 16, 2026.
WTA Cincinnati Open: Emiliana Arango +7.5 games (-106)
- Edge: 15.9%
- Probability: 67.4%
- Matchup: Iga Swiatek vs. Emiliana Arango (12:10PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Emiliana Arango +7.5 games at -106 odds in their matchup at WTA Cincinnati Open. A 67.4% probability produces an edge of 15.9%, making this the strongest play for today's tennis slate.
WTA Cincinnati Open: Emiliana Arango vs. Iga Swiatek Over 16.5 total games (-110)
- Edge: 15.8%
- Probability: 68.2%
- Matchup: Iga Swiatek vs. Emiliana Arango (12:10PM ET)
At WTA Cincinnati Open, Iga Swiatek vs. Emiliana Arango over 16.5 total games carries a 15.8% edge and a probability of 68.2% at -110 odds, according to our model.
ATP Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima -3.5 (-110)
- Edge: 5.4%
- Probability: 57.8%
- Matchup: Brandon Nakashima vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic (1:20PM ET)
Brandon Nakashima -3.5 vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic at -110 odds shows a 5.4% edge, supported by a 57.8% probability in simulations of the ATP Cincinnati Open match.
WTA Cincinnati Open: Sofia Kenin vs. Marta Kostyuk over 18.5 total games (-122)
- Edge: 5.2%
- Probability: 60.1%
- Matchup: Marta Kostyuk vs. Sofia Kenin (1:20PM ET)
A 5.2% edge and 60.1% probability make Sofia Kenin vs. Marta Kostyuk over 18.5 total games a value play in the Marta Kostyuk vs. Sofia Kenin matchup, per our model.
WTA Cincinnati Open: Lucrezia Stefanini +5.5 (-122)
- Edge: 4.4%
- Probability: 59.4%
- Matchup: Marie Bouzkova vs. Lucrezia Stefanini (12:10PM ET)
Lucrezia Stefanini +5.5 at -122 odds presents a 4.4% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 59.4%.
WTA Cincinnati Open: Elena Rybakina vs. Taylor Townsend Under 22.5 total games (-140)
- Edge: 4.4%
- Probability: 62.7%
- Matchup: Taylor Townsend vs. Elena Rybakina (11:00AM ET)
Our model finds value on Under 22.5 total games in Taylor Townsend vs. Elena Rybakina at -140 odds at ATP Brisbane, supported by an edge of 4.4%.
ATP Cincinnati Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs. Brandon Nakashima Under 22.5 total games (-108)
- Edge: 4.1%
- Probability: 56%
- Matchup: Brandon Nakashima vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic (1:20PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Brandon Nakashima vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic Under 22.5 total games at -108 odds. A 56% probability produces a 4.1% edge, making this a strong play for today's tennis action.
ATP Cincinnati Open: Marco Trungelliti +4.5 (+102)
- Edge: 4.1%
- Probability: 53.6%
- Matchup: Marco Trungelliti vs. Daniil Medvedev (11:00AM ET)
A 4.1% edge on a 53.6% probability makes Marco Trungelliti +4.5 at +102 odds a solid value play in this ATP Cincinnati Open matchup.
WTA Cincinnati Open: Sofia Kenin +6.5 (-140)
- Edge: 3.5%
- Probability: 61.8%
- Matchup: Marta Kostyuk vs. Sofia Kenin (1:20PM ET)
Our model projects value on Sofia Kenin +6.5 at -140 odds. A 61.8% probability produces a 3.5% edge, making Sofia Kenin the favorable side in today's WTA Cincinnati Open matchup.
ATP Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs. Ben Shelton Under 22.5 total games (-125)
- Edge: 3.2%
- Probability: 58.8%
- Matchup: Ben Shelton vs. Jaime Faria (7:00PM ET)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Ben Shelton vs. Jaime Faria Under 22.5 total games at -125 odds shows a 58.8% probability and a 3.2% edge.
Tennis best bets summary: Sunday, 8/16/2026
As of 4:06AM ET, here are our top tennis bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swiatek vs. Arango | Emiliana Arango +7.5 games | -106 @ FanDuel | 15.9% | 67.4% |
| Swiatek vs. Arango | Over 16.5 total games | -110 @ FanDuel | 15.8% | 68.2% |
| Nakashima vs. Kovacevic | Brandon Nakashima -3.5 Games | -110 @ FanDuel | 5.4% | 57.8% |
| Kostyuk vs. Kenin | Over 18.5 total games | -122 @ FanDuel | 5.2% | 60.1% |
| Bouzkova vs. Stefanini | Lucrezia Stefanini +5.5 Games | -122 @ FanDuel | 4.4% | 59.4% |
| Townsend vs. Rybakina | Under 22.5 Total Games | -140 @ DraftKings | 4.4% | 62.7% |
| Nakashima vs. Kovacevic | Under 22.5 Total Games | -108 @ FanDuel | 4.1% | 56% |
| Trungelliti vs. Medvedev | Marco Trungelliti +4.5 Games | +102 @ FanDuel | 4.1% | 53.6% |
| Kostyuk vs. Kenin | Sofia Kenin +6.5 Games | -140 @ FanDuel | 3.5% | 61.8% |
| Shelton vs. Faria | Under 22.5 Total Games | -125 @ DraftKings | 3.2% | 58.8% |
List of upcoming tennis matches to bet on now
- WTA Cincinnati: Elena Rybakina vs. Taylor Townsend (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
- WTA Cincinnati: Sara Bejlek vs. Barbora Krejcikova (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
- WTA Cincinnati: Viktorija Golubic vs. Janice Tjen (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
- ATP Cincinnati: Casper Ruud vs. Christopher O'Connell (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
- WTA Cincinnati: Mirra Andreeva vs. Oleksandra Oliynykova (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
- ATP Cincinnati: Michael Zheng vs. Ugo Humbert (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
- ATP Cincinnati: Daniil Medvedev vs. Marco Trungelliti (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
- WTA Cincinnati: Donna Vekic vs. Xinyu Wang (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
- ATP Cincinnati: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas (12:10PM ET, Sunday)
- ATP Cincinnati: Lorenzo Musetti vs. Daniel Altmaier (12:10PM ET, Sunday)
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Conclusion
Our tennis best bets are locked and loaded for August 16, 2026, featuring plays such as Emiliana Arango +7.5 games vs. Iga Swiatek and over 16.5 total games also in the Iga Swiatek vs. Emiliana Arango matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
