US Open bets today: 10 picks for Wednesday ft. Choinski vs. Zandschulp [9/2/2026]

US Open Men Singles 2026: Botic Van de Zandschulp -5.5 (-105)

• Edge: 9.0%
• Probability: 60.2%
• Matchup: Jan Choinski vs. Botic Van de Zandschulp (12:30PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Botic Van de Zandschulp -5.5 at -105 odds in their matchup at US Open Men Singles 2026. A 60.2% probability produces an edge of 9.0%, making this the strongest play for today's tennis slate.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Frances Tiafoe -5.5 (-105)

• Edge: 8.5%
• Probability: 59.7%
• Matchup: Rei Sakamoto vs. Frances Tiafoe (7:00PM ET)

At US Open Men Singles 2026, Frances Tiafoe -5.5 carries an 8.5% edge and a probability of 59.7% at -105 odds, according to our model.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Jiri Lehecka -4.5 (-125)

• Edge: 7.7%
• Probability: 63.3%
• Matchup: Jiri Lehecka vs. Toby Samuel (2:50PM ET)

Jiri Lehecka -4.5 vs. Toby Samuel at -125 odds shows a 7.7% edge, supported by a 63.3% probability in simulations of the US Open Men Singles 2026 match.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Rafael Jodar -7.5 (-105)

• Edge: 7.5%
• Probability: 58.7%
• Matchup: Rafael Jodar vs. Yunchaokete Bu (12:30PM ET)

A 7.5% edge and 58.7% probability makes Rafael Jodar -7.5 vs. Yunchaokete Bu a value play in the Rafael Jodar vs. Yunchaokete Bu matchup, per our model.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Frances Tiafoe vs. Rei Sakamoto Under 38.5 total games (-130)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 63.3%
• Matchup: Rei Sakamoto vs. Frances Tiafoe (7:00PM ET)

Frances Tiafoe vs. Rei Sakamoto Under 38.5 total games at -130 odds presents a 6.7% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 63.3%.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Carlos Alcaraz -6.5 (-125)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 62.2%
• Matchup: Jaime Faria vs. Carlos Alcaraz (8:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Carlos Alcaraz -6.5 at -125 odds at ATP Brisbane, supported by an edge of 6.6%.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Toby Samuel vs. Jiri Lehecka Under 37.5 total games (-110)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 58%
• Matchup: Jiri Lehecka vs. Toby Samuel (2:50PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Jiri Lehecka vs. Toby Samuel Under 37.5 total games at -110 odds. A 58% probability produces a 5.7% edge, making this a strong play for today's tennis action.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Yunchaokete Bu vs. Rafael Jodar Under 33.5 total games (-130)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 61.8%
• Matchup: Rafael Jodar vs. Yunchaokete Bu (12:30PM ET)

A 5.3% edge on a 61.8% probability makes Under 33.5 total games at -130 odds a solid value play in this US Open Men Singles 2026 matchup.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Lloyd HarrisUnder 39.5 total games (-105)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 56.2%
• Matchup: Lloyd Harris vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas (4:30PM ET)

Our model projects value on Under 39.5 total games at -105 odds. A 56.2% probability produces a 4.9% edge, making the Under the favorable side in today's US Open Men Singles 2026 matchup.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jaime Faria Under 34.5 total games (-133)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 62%
• Matchup: Jaime Faria vs. Carlos Alcaraz (8:10PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Jaime Faria vs. Carlos Alcaraz Under 34.5 total games at -133 odds shows a 62% probability and a 4.9% edge.

US Open best bets summary: Wednesday, 9/2/2026

As of 3:50AM ET, here are our top US Open bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming US Open matches to bet on now

• US Open Men Singles: Arthur Rinderknech vs. Jaume Munar (11:00AM ET, Wednesday)
• US Open Women Singles: Lucrezia Stefanini vs. Jasmine Paolini (11:00AM ET, Wednesday)
• US Open Women Singles: Taylah Preston vs. Taylor Townsend (11:00AM ET, Wednesday)
• US Open Women Singles: Sorana Cirstea vs. Diane Parry (11:00AM ET, Wednesday)
• US Open Men Singles: Andrey Rublev vs. Daniel Merida (11:00AM ET, Wednesday)
• US Open Men Singles: Alex Michelsen vs. Brandon Nakashima (11:00AM ET, Wednesday)
• US Open Women Singles: Diana Shnaider vs. Karolina Pliskova (11:00AM ET, Wednesday)
• US Open Women Singles: Leylah Fernandez vs. Mananchaya Sawangkaew (11:00AM ET, Wednesday)
• US Open Women Singles: Sofia Kenin vs. Jessica Pegula (11:30AM ET, Wednesday)
• US Open Men Singles: Jacob Fearnley vs. Tomas Etcheverry (12:10PM ET, Wednesday)

Conclusion

Our US Open best bets are locked and loaded for September 2, 2026, featuring plays such as Botic Van de Zandschulp -5.5 vs. Jan Choinski and Frances Tiafoe -5.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.