Northwestern State vs. Arkansas prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 6, 2026

Arkansas is favored to beat Northwestern State at Bud Walton Arena on Friday (11:30 AM ET), according to Dimers' women's basketball model.

Our Northwestern State vs. Arkansas prediction gives the Demons a 92.6% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Northwestern State to cover at +22.5.

Northwestern State vs. Arkansas key predictions

• Predicted score: Arkansas 76-58 Northwestern State
• Arkansas win probability: 92.6%
• Northwestern State win probability: 7.4%
• Northwestern State +22.5 spread: 52.4% cover probability
• Under 137.5 points: 51.5% probability

Our women's basketball predictions start with projected final scores for both teams, based on each team's recent and long-term efficiency at both ends of the floor, adjusted for the matchup.

We pair those projections with historical scoring trends to calculate win, spread, and total probabilities, then compare them with current odds to find betting value.

Northwestern State vs. Arkansas odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Northwestern State +22.5: +104 (BetRivers)
• Arkansas -22.5: -137 (BetRivers)
• Over 137.5 points: -116 (BetRivers)
• Under 137.5 points: -114 (BetRivers)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Northwestern State vs. Arkansas pick: Northwestern State +22.5 (+104)

Our model makes Arkansas the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Razorbacks to cover the +22.5 spread at +104 on BetRivers.

Those odds give Northwestern State an implied cover probability of 49.0%, while our model puts it at 52.4%.

That's a 3.4% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Northwestern State vs. Arkansas game details

• Matchup: Northwestern State Demons vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
• Date: Friday, November 6, 2026
• Time: 11:30 AM ET
• Venue: Bud Walton Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our women's basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.