Oklahoma vs. North Carolina prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 2, 2026

North Carolina is favored to beat Oklahoma at Adidas Arena on Monday (2:30 PM ET), according to Dimers' women's basketball model.

Our Oklahoma vs. North Carolina prediction gives North Carolina a 59.3% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest the best betting value is on the under 150.5 points.

Oklahoma vs. North Carolina key predictions

• Predicted score: North Carolina 75-72 Oklahoma
• North Carolina win probability: 59.3%
• Oklahoma win probability: 40.7%
• Oklahoma +3.5 spread: 51.2% cover probability
• Under 150.5 points: 54.0% probability

Our women's basketball predictions start with projected final scores for both teams, based on each team's recent and long-term efficiency at both ends of the floor, adjusted for the matchup.

We pair those projections with historical scoring trends to calculate win, spread, and total probabilities, then compare them with current odds to find betting value.

Oklahoma vs. North Carolina odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Oklahoma moneyline: +140 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• North Carolina moneyline: -162 (DraftKings)
• Oklahoma +3.5: -110 (DraftKings)
• North Carolina -3.5: -110 (DraftKings)
• Over 150.5 points: -110 (DraftKings)
• Under 150.5 points: -110 (DraftKings)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Oklahoma vs. North Carolina pick: Under 150.5 (-110)

Our model makes North Carolina the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 150.5 total points at -110 on DraftKings.

Those odds give the under an implied probability of 52.4%, while our model puts it at 54.0%.

That's a 1.6% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Oklahoma vs. North Carolina game details

• Matchup: Oklahoma Sooners vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
• Date: Monday, November 2, 2026
• Time: 2:30 PM ET
• Venue: Adidas Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our women's basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.