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Read Article Spain vs. Austria prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Round of 32]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Spain vs Austria predictions for World Cup 2026 Thursday.
Spain will square off with Austria in the round of 32 of the World Cup 2026 at SoFi Stadium on Thursday, commencing at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven World Cup 2026 model projects Spain as the most likely winner of the Spain vs. Austria game.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Spain vs. Austria prediction: Who will win and advance to the Round of 16?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's World Cup 2026 game between Spain and Austria, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 73.0% chance of Spain winning, a 9.7% chance for Austria, and a 17.2% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 56.0% chance of going over, with a 55.8% likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Spain holds a 45.3% probability to win without conceding, with Austria given a 5.2% chance.
For bettors looking to cover multiple outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Spain to win or draw at 90.3%.
A quick reminder: standard World Cup markets apply to 90 minutes of regulation play only, excluding extra time unless stated otherwise. This differs from sports like the NBA, where overtime is typically included.
Austria vs. Spain odds
We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Spain | Austria | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -285 | +950 | +400 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -140 | +118 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Spain vs. Austria picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Austria @ +950 via FanDuel
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +118 via FanDuel
- Win to Nil: Austria @ +1050 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: Spain or Austria @ -550 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: No @ -130 via DraftKings
According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Austria to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge provided on Austria's odds provide the best value right now.
Spain vs. Austria: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Spain win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spain 2-0 Austria | 13.5% |
| Spain 1-0 Austria | 12% |
| Spain 3-0 Austria | 10.1% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 44.2% chance of both Spain and Austria finding the net and a 55.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Spain vs. Austria player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Thursday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Spain-Austria:
Spain
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 38.9% probability
- Lamine Yamal: 34.2% probability
- Dani Olmo: 23.0% probability
- Alex Baena: 22.8% probability
- Rodri : 12.6% probability
Austria
- Michael Gregoritsch: 11.9% probability
- Marcel Sabitzer: 9.8% probability
- Romano Schmid: 6.3% probability
- Paul Wanner: 5.5% probability
- Konrad Laimer: 5.3% probability
Spain vs. Austria game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's soccer World Cup matchup between Spain and Austria at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Spain vs. Austria
- Date: Thursday, July 2, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: SoFi Stadium
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Spain has a 73.0% win probability on Thursday, Austria has a 9.7% win probability, and there is a 17.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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